HOKA失速VS昂跑狂奔：中产跑鞋战场格局生变

Core Viewpoint - The competition between HOKA and On is intensifying, with HOKA experiencing a significant slowdown in growth while On continues to thrive, raising questions about the reasons behind these divergent paths in a similar market environment [3][5][32]. Group 1: HOKA's Performance - HOKA's sales growth has slowed to 10% in the latest quarter, down from 24% and 35% in the previous two quarters, with sales reaching $586 million [3][5]. - The brand's product innovation has been insufficient, leading to a decline in consumer interest, as evidenced by a drop in natural search volume for new products [25][32]. - HOKA's positioning has become somewhat mediocre, lacking breakthroughs in professional fields and being overly conservative in its fashion transformation [32][54]. Group 2: On's Performance - On has reported a remarkable 43% growth, with net sales reaching 727 million Swiss francs, and has raised its annual forecast for at least 28% growth in the upcoming fiscal year [5][33]. - The brand has successfully established itself in the high-end running market, with an average shoe price exceeding 1,000 yuan, and has received endorsements from elite athletes [42][52]. - On's marketing strategy includes collaborations with high-fashion brands and a focus on community engagement, which has strengthened its brand positioning and consumer loyalty [44][50]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The outdoor sports market in China has significant growth potential, with a current penetration rate of only 28%, compared to over 50% in overseas markets [54]. - Both brands face competition not only from each other but also from established giants like Nike and Adidas, as well as emerging niche brands [56]. - The ongoing competition between HOKA and On highlights the necessity for brands to continuously innovate and capture consumer attention in a rapidly changing market [54][58].