【光大研究每日速递】20250722

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of various sectors in the financial market, highlighting the strong performance of pharmaceutical-themed funds and the anticipated recovery in the steel sector due to policy changes aimed at eliminating outdated production capacity [3][5]. Group 1: Fund Market Insights - Equity funds continue to perform well, with mixed-asset funds rising by 3.06% [3] - Pharmaceutical-themed funds show significant advantages, while passive products in Hong Kong's pharmaceutical and communication sectors also perform well [3] - There is a noticeable trend of profit-taking in stock ETFs, with passive funds reducing exposure to broad-based ETFs while increasing investments in financial, real estate, and dividend-themed ETFs [3] Group 2: Steel Industry Analysis - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has revised the "Steel Industry Normative Conditions," emphasizing the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [3] - The steel sector's profitability is expected to recover to historical average levels, with price-to-book ratios likely to improve as a result [3] Group 3: Copper Market Overview - Non-commercial short positions in COMEX copper have reached their lowest level since April 2012, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [4] - The U.S. June CPI continues to rebound, with a 94% probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in July, which may lead to a stronger dollar [4] Group 4: Coal Mining Sector Outlook - The government is implementing a new round of policies to stabilize growth in key industries, including coal mining, which is expected to maintain an upward trend [5] - The focus on eliminating low-price competition and enhancing product quality is anticipated to support the coal sector's performance [5] Group 5: Renewable Energy Equipment Exports - In June 2025, inverter exports amounted to $920 million, remaining flat year-on-year, while component and battery exports totaled $2.2 billion, down 24% year-on-year [6] - Transformer exports increased by 48% year-on-year to 5.41 billion yuan, indicating strong demand in this segment [6] Group 6: China Power Construction Company - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly benefit China Power Construction Company [6] - The company holds over 65% market share in domestic hydropower and is projected to secure annual contracts worth 21.8 to 29.1 billion yuan from this project [6]