今天！时隔288个日夜，上证综指再摸3600点！……

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent surge of the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3600 points for the first time since October 2022, indicating a strong performance in cyclical sectors such as steel, coal, and petrochemicals, which contradicts the belief that dividend assets lack "sharpness" [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current market is characterized by a significant presence of institutional investors, with the top five institutions holding nearly 40% of the total market capitalization, which exceeds 15 trillion yuan [2]. - The recent rally from 3100 to 3400 points has been primarily driven by institutional funds rather than retail investors, marking a shift from previous market behaviors [2]. Group 2: Future Trends - Insurance funds are expected to play a crucial role in the market's performance in the second half of the year, especially following a recent policy change that increases the long-term investment assessment weight for insurance capital to 70% [3]. - The cyclical dividend sectors are anticipated to outperform due to three main logical frameworks: mean reversion, calendar effects, and anti-involution logic [3][4]. Group 3: Sector Performance - Historical data shows that from 2016 onwards, the third quarter has seen high success rates for steel, coal, and petrochemical sectors, with average returns of 10.17%, 5.19%, and 4.71% respectively, driven by seasonal demand peaks [4]. - Recent government initiatives to focus on key industries such as steel and petrochemicals signal a structural adjustment, which is expected to lead to a rally in resource stocks, reminiscent of past supply-side reforms [4].