国泰海通 · 晨报0724｜策略、新股、建材

Core Viewpoint - Active funds are increasing their allocation to mid-cap growth stocks and large financials, with a slight rise in overall positions despite redemption pressures [2][3]. Fund Allocation Trends - In Q2 2025, active equity funds increased their positions to 84.2%, with a notable decrease in concentration as CR20 fell by 3.3% [2]. - There is a significant increase in allocation to Hong Kong stocks, reaching a record high of 19.5%, while A-shares saw a substantial increase in the ChiNext and a slight increase in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with a reduction in the main board [2][3]. - The active fund structure has adjusted, favoring mid-cap growth stocks represented by the CSI 500, particularly in technology hardware, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors, while reducing exposure to leading heavyweight stocks [2][3]. Sector Allocation - Funds are increasing their allocation to TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and large financial sectors, while reducing positions in cyclical and manufacturing sectors [3]. - Within the TMT sector, there is a notable increase in communication equipment, chemical pharmaceuticals, aerospace equipment, and gaming, while passenger vehicles, consumer electronics, photovoltaic equipment, and semiconductors are seeing reduced allocations [3]. - In the large financial sector, the highest increases are seen in city commercial banks, insurance, and securities, with city commercial banks reaching historical highs in allocation [3]. Hong Kong Stock Market - Active funds continue to strengthen their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with a significant increase in holdings in innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption sectors, while reducing exposure to retail, automotive, and media sectors [4]. - Passive funds have also increased their holdings in banks, electronics, and communications, surpassing active funds in total stock holdings for the first time, indicating a consensus in fund behavior [4]. IPO and New Fund Performance - The pace of IPO approvals has accelerated in Q2 2025, with first-day average gains for newly listed stocks exceeding 220%, and significant increases in returns for A/B class accounts [7][8]. - The average return for new fund allocations in Q2 2025 was 1.76%, with smaller funds (under 2 billion) showing the best performance [8][9]. - The top sectors for new fund holdings include banking, electronics, and household appliances, with significant increases in positions in banks and pharmaceuticals [9].