Wind万得·2025-07-23 22:28Market Overview - The market sentiment has improved due to recent trade negotiations, leading to a rise in US stock indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 507.85 points, or 1.14%, closing at 45,010.29 points, just 4 points shy of its historical high. The S&P 500 rose by 0.78% to 6,358.91 points, marking its 12th record close of the year, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.61%, closing above 21,000 points for the first time [1][2]. Trade Agreements - The US aims to finalize more trade agreements before the August 1 tariff deadline. Recently, the White House announced a framework agreement with Indonesia, following previous agreements with countries including China and the UK. President Trump mentioned a "significant agreement" with Japan, which includes a 15% reciprocal tariff on Japanese exports to the US. This is part of a broader strategy to expedite negotiations with major trading partners before the critical tariff deadline [3][9]. Earnings Reports - The focus is shifting towards the earnings season, particularly the performance of tech giants. Alphabet reported strong Q2 earnings, with revenue of $96.43 billion, exceeding market expectations of $94 billion, and earnings per share of $2.31, above the anticipated $2.18. The company plans to increase its capital expenditure for 2025 from $75 billion to $85 billion to meet growing demand in cloud computing and AI [5][6]. - Tesla's Q2 earnings showed a 16% year-over-year decline in automotive revenue, marking the second consecutive quarter of sales decline. Total revenue was $22.5 billion, slightly below the expected $22.74 billion. The automotive business revenue fell to $16.7 billion from $19.9 billion year-over-year, and revenue from regulatory credits dropped significantly [6][7]. Economic Predictions - Goldman Sachs predicts that the US's basic "reciprocal" tariff rate will increase from 10% to 15%, with tariffs on copper and key minerals reaching 50%. This could exacerbate inflationary pressures and suppress economic growth. The firm has adjusted its inflation and GDP growth forecasts accordingly, projecting a 1% reduction in GDP growth for 2025 [12]. - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in July, with market participants anticipating a potential rate cut in September. Economists predict that the Fed will have to tolerate higher inflation levels while considering the impact of new tariff policies on the economy [14][15].