【招商电子】SK海力士25Q2跟踪报告：DRAM和NAND出货量超预期，上修全年资本开支指引

Core Viewpoint - SK Hynix reported a record high revenue of 22.23 trillion KRW in Q2 2025, driven by strong DRAM and NAND shipments, with a year-on-year increase of 35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26% [1][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached 22.23 trillion KRW, marking a historical high, with DRAM and NAND shipments exceeding expectations [1][6]. - Gross margin stood at 54%, up 8 percentage points year-on-year but down 3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit was 7 trillion KRW, with a net profit margin of 31%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15 percentage points [1][15][16]. - DRAM revenue was 17.1 trillion KRW, up 58% year-on-year and 21% quarter-on-quarter, driven by strong server and PC demand [1][22]. - NAND revenue was 4.7 trillion KRW, down 8% year-on-year but up 47% quarter-on-quarter, with a significant increase in shipment volume [1][22]. Group 2: Market Outlook - Demand for storage is expected to continue growing in H2 2025, with strong demand and favorable pricing conditions observed in H1 2025 [2]. - The server market is anticipated to grow healthily, driven by increased capital expenditures from major companies and a shift in demand due to new CPU procurement [2][22]. - AI applications are expected to boost replacement demand in the PC and mobile markets, leading to an increase in memory capacity per device [2][22]. Group 3: Supply and Production Plans - Q3 2025 shipment growth is expected to slow, with DRAM growth projected at low to mid-single digits and limited growth in NAND shipments [3]. - The company plans to maintain its target of doubling HBM revenue year-on-year and has provided HBM4 samples to customers [3][22]. - Capital expenditures are expected to exceed previous guidance, with additional spending allocated for HBM-related equipment [3][22]. Group 4: Product Development and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-speed DDR5 products and expanding its HBM product line to meet growing AI market demands [23][32]. - Plans include the development of enterprise-level SSDs and high-density server modules to cater to evolving market needs [23][32]. - The M15X factory is set to begin production in Q4 2025, with full-scale production expected in 2026 [23][32]. Group 5: Customer and Market Dynamics - The company is closely monitoring customer demand and inventory levels, with a focus on maintaining stable supply amid uncertainties [26][27]. - The shift in AI workloads is expected to drive significant changes in NAND demand, particularly for eSSD solutions [34]. - The company is committed to ensuring supply continuity for its Chinese operations while navigating regulatory challenges [27].