解码二季报下半年投资机遇，新势力登台，国家队继续偏好ETF！

Core Viewpoint - The public fund's second quarter report for 2025 reveals a significant recovery in profitability, with a total profit of 385.1 billion yuan, driven by the performance of equity and bond funds, indicating a strong "money-making effect" in the market [5][37]. Group 1: Market Overview - The global economy continues to face complexities, with geopolitical risks and trade protectionism affecting global trade and supply chains, while domestic economic recovery is supported by stable growth policies [2][3]. - The A-share market has shown structural opportunities, with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining a range between 3300 and 3500 points, and daily trading volume averaging around 1.4 trillion yuan [3][4]. Group 2: ETF Performance - The ETF market has reached a record scale of 4.31 trillion yuan, with non-monetary ETFs at 4.14 trillion yuan, highlighting the growing importance of bond ETFs, which are nearing 400 billion yuan in scale [8][9]. - The top-performing funds in terms of profit are predominantly broad-based ETFs, providing investors with more options [10]. Group 3: National Team's Strategy - The "national team" has significantly increased its holdings in ETFs, with approximately 150 billion yuan added to four major ETFs, indicating a strong commitment to market stabilization and support for blue-chip stocks [20][24]. - The recent performance of the ETFs favored by the national team shows a one-year return of around 22.7%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [25][26]. Group 4: Active Fund Preferences - Active equity funds have shown a preference for "new" stocks, with notable holdings in Tencent, Ningde Times, and others, while some traditional stocks have seen reductions in holdings [27][30]. - New entrants in the top ten holdings include Xiaomi and New Yi Sheng, reflecting a shift towards new economy and technology stocks [28][30]. Group 5: FOF Fund Holdings - FOF funds have shown a strong preference for low-cost, passive products, with three of the top five holdings being ETFs, indicating a trend towards efficient investment strategies [31][33]. - The top ETF held by FOFs is the Hai Fu Tong Short Bond ETF, with significant holdings across multiple funds [34]. Group 6: Conclusion - The second quarter report of public funds provides critical insights into market trends for the second half of 2025, emphasizing the record growth of ETFs and the national team's strategic support for market stability [37].