Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production shows divergence, with a slight year-on-year increase in blast furnace operating rates of 1.2% [1][4] - Chemical production has declined, with soda ash and PTA operating rates down by 3.3 percentage points and 1.2 percentage points respectively [1][11] - The automotive sector's semi-steel tire operating rate remains below last year's level, down by 0.2 percentage points [1][11] Group 2: Construction Industry - Construction activity is mixed, with nationwide grinding operating rates down by 3.9 percentage points to 6.2% [1][16] - Cement shipment rates remain low, down by 2.6 percentage points to 3.0% [1][16] - Asphalt operating rates have seen a year-on-year increase of 1.0 percentage points to 0.3% [1][16] Group 3: Downstream Demand - Real estate transactions have shown a slight recovery, with average daily transaction area for new homes down by 6.1% year-on-year, but still up by 20% compared to the previous week [1][29] - Port cargo throughput related to exports has increased, with cargo and container throughput up by 5.2 percentage points and 6.3 percentage points respectively [1][34] - Passenger travel intensity has slightly increased, with the national migration scale index up by 0.4 percentage points to 17.8% [1][39] Group 4: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are mixed, with egg and vegetable prices up by 0.3% and 5.0% respectively, while pork and fruit prices are down by 0.2% and 2.3% [2][56] - Industrial product prices have rebounded significantly, with the Nanhua Industrial Price Index up by 4.2% [2][63] - Energy and chemical price indices have increased by 4.0% and 4.1% respectively [2][63] Group 5: Transportation and Logistics - National railway and highway freight volumes have increased, with year-on-year growth of 0.1 percentage points and 1.6 percentage points respectively [1][34] - Port cargo throughput continues to rise, with significant increases in both cargo and container throughput [1][34] - The overall trend in logistics indicates a recovery in freight activity [1][34] Group 6: Consumer Behavior - Cinema attendance has surged, with a year-on-year increase of 49.3% in viewer numbers [1][42] - Automotive sales show a mixed trend, with retail sales up by 2.2% while wholesale volumes are down by 17.8% [1][42] - The overall consumer spending environment is showing signs of recovery, particularly in entertainment sectors [1][42]
国内高频 | 港口货运量仍较强(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观·2025-07-29 16:04