早盘直击 | 今日行情关注

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is currently consolidating around the 3600-point level, showing hesitation before challenging the previous high of 3674 points, with a positive medium-term outlook despite short-term fluctuations [1][2]. Market Outlook - Recent catalysts across various industries, such as the launch of hydropower stations and potential recovery in H20 chip exports, are expected to boost market sentiment, leading to a more optimistic outlook [2]. - Two potential paths for the market are identified: continuing the upward trend directly towards the 3674-point high or undergoing a consolidation phase to digest previous losses before making a challenge [2]. - Three conditions are necessary for a direct challenge to the previous high: implementation of fiscal stimulus policies, continued global easing, and sustained increase in trading volume [2]. Hot Sectors - The technology sector is anticipated to gain momentum in August, driven by various catalysts, with a shift from defensive stocks to growth-oriented technology stocks [3]. - Key opportunities in the AI sector are expected to emerge from events like the AI conference, with innovations such as the Ascend 384 super node and physical AI [3]. - The trend towards domestic robotization is projected to continue, expanding from humanoid robots to quadrupedal and functional robots, creating opportunities in related components like sensors and controllers [3]. - The semiconductor industry remains a focus, with attention on domestic production across equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [3]. - The military industry is expected to see a rebound in orders by 2025, with signs of recovery already visible in Q1 reports across various sub-sectors [3]. - The innovative drug sector is entering a recovery phase after four years of adjustment, with positive net profit growth expected to continue into 2025 [3]. Market Review - The A-share market is maintaining an upward trend despite recent narrow fluctuations, with a positive medium-term outlook supported by consolidation efforts [4]. - Major indices closed in the green, although the number of rising stocks was limited, indicating a decrease in overall market profitability [4]. - Leading sectors included telecommunications, steel, pharmaceuticals, electronics, and military, while lagging sectors comprised agriculture, banking, beauty care, light industry, and environmental protection [4].