可再生能源vs化石燃料，谁将主导未来？

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the contrasting paths of China and the United States in the renewable energy sector, with China leading significantly in renewable energy capacity and technology while the U.S. continues to invest heavily in fossil fuels [1][3][7]. Renewable Energy Capacity - In 2024, China's total power generation is projected to reach 10,073 TWh, compared to the U.S. at 4,387 TWh, showcasing China's dominance in renewable energy projects [1][3]. - China's renewable energy accounts for 34% of its total power generation, while the U.S. stands at 24% [1][3]. - Specific renewable energy capacities show China leading in solar (834 TWh vs. 303 TWh), wind (992 TWh vs. 453 TWh), hydro (1354 TWh vs. 236 TWh), and biomass (208 TWh vs. 47 TWh) [2]. Electric Vehicle Market - China exported electric vehicles worth $38 billion in the previous year, three times more than Tesla's annual exports of approximately $12 billion [4]. - The market share of electric vehicles in China has surpassed 50% and is expected to exceed 60% by the end of the year [6]. - The U.S. electric vehicle market is hindered by low charging infrastructure and unstable subsidy policies, while China is rapidly expanding its charging network [4][6]. Battery Technology - China dominates the lithium-ion battery market, with exports reaching $65 billion, which is 22 times that of the U.S. [4][6]. - The article emphasizes that the country with battery manufacturing capabilities will gain significant economic and geopolitical advantages, with China currently being the only winner in this domain [6]. Policy and Strategic Direction - The U.S. is focusing on reviving fossil fuel industries, while China is committed to renewable energy development, as evidenced by significant investments in solar, wind, and hydro projects [3][7]. - Historical patterns show that U.S. energy policies have fluctuated with political changes, while China maintains a consistent long-term strategy for renewable energy [8][10]. Global Influence - China is expanding its influence in the global renewable energy market by investing in projects across various countries, including Hungary, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia [10]. - The article notes that most countries are not following the U.S. fossil fuel path, instead opting for renewable energy investments, which aligns with China's growing global influence [10].