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解读一下今天的两个会议
表舅是养基大户·2025-07-30 13:31

Group 1: US-China Trade Negotiations - The third round of US-China trade negotiations in Sweden is significant, especially after the US reached preliminary agreements with multiple countries, leaving China as one of the remaining major trade partners [4][5] - The US is exerting pressure on its remaining trade partners, as evidenced by the announcement of a 25% tariff on India, indicating a strategy to leverage recent agreements with other countries [5][6] - The US aims to reduce supply chain risks in strategic industries such as rare earths, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, potentially implementing lower tariffs initially before increasing them later [6][9] - China's expansion of export capacity and improvements in the value chain are seen positively, indicating a strong manufacturing sector that poses challenges to Western economies [7][9] Group 2: Recent Policy Meeting Insights - The core message from the recent policy meeting emphasizes enhancing the attractiveness and inclusivity of the domestic capital market, acknowledging the achievements in stabilizing the market since September of the previous year [12][13] - The monetary policy focus is on maintaining low financing costs across various sectors, including government bonds and corporate loans, rather than explicitly mentioning rate cuts [13] - The meeting highlighted the need to address local government behaviors that contribute to disorderly competition, indicating a structural approach to economic challenges [14] - The real estate sector's focus is on high-quality urban renewal, reflecting a shift towards structural adjustments rather than total volume increases [14][15] Group 3: Market Trends and Observations - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant declines, particularly in the semiconductor sector, influenced by broader market dynamics and competitive pressures in the electric vehicle market [17][18] - A notable risk in the A-share market is the suspension of trading for a stock due to abnormal fluctuations, signaling potential issues for speculative investments [24] - The bond market has seen considerable volatility recently, marking one of the highest fluctuation periods of the year [25][26]