Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid changes in consumer preferences among the middle class in China, particularly regarding outdoor activities such as camping, cycling, and skiing, highlighting a shift from enthusiasm to disillusionment and the impact on related industries [3][4][5]. Group 1: Changing Trends in Outdoor Activities - The once-popular outdoor activities, referred to as the "three treasures" of the middle class, have seen a decline in interest, with social media reflecting a shift from recommendations to people selling off their gear [4][5]. - The middle class's preferences are volatile, with activities like camping and cycling quickly falling out of favor, leading to significant inventory issues for businesses [4][5][12]. - Data from the China Bicycle Association indicates a 15.1% year-on-year increase in the production of mid-to-high-end bicycles priced over 1,000 yuan in 2023, suggesting a brief surge in interest before the decline [5]. Group 2: Impact of Events and Economic Factors - The 2023 ski season saw a 209% increase in ski ticket orders compared to 2019, indicating a temporary spike in popularity influenced by events like the Winter Olympics [6]. - However, the ski industry is experiencing a downturn, with many brands reporting sales declines of 30%-50% and some even halting operations due to excess inventory [15][19]. - The pandemic initially boosted outdoor activities, but the post-pandemic reality has led to a significant drop in consumer engagement and spending in these sectors [21][29]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Economic Shifts - The article notes a shift in consumer behavior, with middle-class individuals becoming more price-sensitive and prioritizing value over brand prestige, leading to a decline in sales for high-end brands like Lululemon [12][23]. - The narrative of middle-class consumers transitioning from spending freely to seeking discounts and deals reflects broader economic challenges and changing financial priorities [23][25]. - The outdoor industry is facing a reckoning, with many businesses struggling to adapt to the new consumer landscape, leading to closures and a reevaluation of business models [27][28]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Industry Challenges - The article suggests that while the outdoor and sports industries may face short-term pain, there is potential for long-term stability as the market adjusts to new consumer preferences [27][29]. - The need for continuous innovation and adaptation in the outdoor sector is emphasized, as businesses must find ways to differentiate themselves in a crowded market [28][29]. - The overall sentiment is that the middle class will continue to seek new, cost-effective experiences, but businesses must be cautious and strategic in their approach to avoid being swept away by rapid changes [29].
中产“三宝”,集体退潮
首席商业评论·2025-07-31 04:49