早盘直击 | 今日行情关注

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment but did not show signs of panic selling, indicating a gradual increase in market confidence towards an upward trend [1] Market Overview - On Thursday, the A-share index saw a notable decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping over 1% and more than 4200 stocks declining, marking the largest single-day adjustment since April 7 [1] - The trading volume reached 1.93 trillion, which is considered normal, suggesting that there was no panic selling [1] - The index has officially broken through the high point of November 8, 2024, indicating the end of the sideways movement since the fourth quarter of 2024 [1] - Concerns regarding trade conflicts have eased, and with the policy window approaching in July, the market is expected to maintain a slow upward trend amidst fluctuations [1] Future Outlook - There are multiple catalysts in various industries, leading to a more optimistic outlook for the market [2] - After the index surpassed 3500 points, two potential paths are identified: continuing the upward trend to challenge the high of October 8, 2024, or consolidating before attempting to break the 3674 high [2] - Three conditions are necessary for a direct challenge to previous highs: implementation of fiscal stimulus policies, continued global environment easing, and sustained increase in trading volume [2] Sector Highlights - The technology sector is expected to gain momentum in August, driven by various catalysts [3] - The AI conference has introduced new hotspots, indicating potential opportunities in the AI sector [3] - The trend towards domestic robotization is expected to continue, with opportunities arising in related components such as sensors and controllers [3] - The semiconductor industry remains a focus, particularly in domestic equipment, wafer manufacturing, and IC design [3] - The military industry is anticipated to see a rebound in orders by 2025, with signs of recovery in quarterly reports [3] - The innovative drug sector is expected to reach a turning point in fundamentals after a prolonged adjustment period [3] Market Review - Despite the rapid adjustment, the market maintains an upward trend, and the consolidation phase is seen as beneficial for the mid-term outlook [4] - Most sectors experienced declines, with only the computer and communication sectors showing gains, while sectors like steel, non-ferrous metals, and real estate faced significant losses [4]