［8月3日］美股指数估值数据（全球股市大跌，原因为何？）

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of global stock markets, the impact of U.S. economic data on market sentiment, and the implications for investment strategies, particularly in relation to U.S. dollar bonds and Chinese assets. Group 1: Market Performance - Global stock markets experienced a significant decline, with a drop of over 2.7%, leading to a rating of 3.1 stars for the global stock market index [9][12]. - European stock markets fell more than 3%, marking the largest weekly decline since the tariff crisis in early April [10]. - The A-share market ended a five-week upward trend, with the CSI All Share Index dropping by 1.15%, which is a smaller decline compared to the global market [12][13]. Group 2: Economic Data Impact - The decline in global stock markets was influenced by disappointing U.S. non-farm employment data for July, which showed an increase of only 73,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 104,000 [14]. - The downward revision of previous employment data for May and June raised concerns about the stability of U.S. economic data, with May's figures revised from 144,000 to 19,000 and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [18][19]. Group 3: Investment Implications - Disappointing economic data typically favors a decrease in U.S. dollar interest rates, which could lead to a continuation of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle [20][21]. - A low economic growth scenario would generally benefit U.S. dollar bonds, as interest rates on bonds tend to decrease to stimulate the economy [25][27]. - The decline in U.S. dollar interest rates is also favorable for Chinese assets, with Chinese assets showing an overall increase of more than the global market since the Fed's first rate cut in September last year [31][33]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The article highlights the availability of global stock index funds in overseas markets, which are substantial in scale, reaching over a trillion dollars, while such options are limited in mainland China [42]. - The company has introduced a "Global Index Advisory Portfolio" that diversifies investments across U.S., UK, Hong Kong, and A-share indices to track the global stock market [43]. - The article also mentions the launch of a new edition of the book "The Long-Term Investment Guide," which has gained significant popularity and provides insights into long-term stock market investments [47][50].