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【苹果(AAPL.O)】FY3Q25营收利润均超预期,仍需持续关注AI+关税进展——FY3Q25业绩跟踪(付天姿/黄铮)
光大证券研究·2025-08-03 23:06

Core Viewpoint - Apple's FY3Q25 revenue and profit exceeded expectations, with a notable performance in iPhone, Mac, and services, marking the strongest quarterly revenue growth since FY1Q22 [3] Group 1: Financial Performance - FY3Q25 revenue reached $94.04 billion, a year-over-year increase of 10%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $89.3 billion [3] - Gross margin for the quarter was 46.5%, at the upper end of the previous guidance of 45.5%-46.5%, primarily due to lower-than-expected tariff impacts [3] - Net profit for FY3Q25 was $23.43 billion, a year-over-year increase of 9.3%, with basic EPS of $1.57, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $1.43 [3] Group 2: Future Guidance - For FY4Q25, Apple expects mid-to-high single-digit year-over-year revenue growth, which is above market expectations [4] - The company anticipates service revenue growth to remain around 13%, similar to FY3Q25, assuming stable global tariff policies and no significant macroeconomic deterioration [4] - Projected gross margin for the next quarter is between 46%-47%, despite an expected $1.1 billion increase in costs due to tariffs [4] Group 3: iPhone Performance - FY3Q25 iPhone revenue was $44.58 billion, a year-over-year increase of 13%, significantly above Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $40.22 billion [5] - Global iPhone shipments for 2Q25 were 46.4 million units, a year-over-year increase of 1.5%, outperforming the overall smartphone market [5] - The growth in iPhone revenue was driven by preemptive consumer demand due to tariff concerns and strong sales of the iPhone 16 series, particularly in the Greater China region, which saw a 4% year-over-year revenue increase [5]