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光大证券研究·2025-08-04 23:03

Group 1: Steel Industry - In July, the PMI for new export orders was reported at 47.10% [4] - The BCI for small and medium enterprises financing environment index in July 2025 was 46.09, a month-on-month decrease of 6.16% [4] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference in June 2025 was -3.7 percentage points, with a month-on-month increase of 1.9 percentage points [4] Group 2: Non-ferrous Metals - In July, the operating rate of cable enterprises reached a six-year low compared to the same period last year [4] - The copper price is expected to fluctuate in the short term due to lower domestic cable operating rates and a decrease in air conditioning production from August to October [4] - However, tight supply from mines and scrap copper, along with a rebound in demand for power grids and air conditioning in Q4, may lead to an increase in copper prices [4] Group 3: Renewable Energy and Environmental Protection - The political bureau meeting emphasized the importance of promoting a unified national market and optimizing market competition [4] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to continue, impacting the stock prices of photovoltaic-related companies [4] - Key areas to watch include price-sensitive segments such as silicon materials, glass, and BC batteries [4] Group 4: Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology - The public health emergency response level III was activated in Foshan due to the outbreak of Chikungunya fever, with over 6,000 confirmed cases reported by July 31 [5] Group 5: Company-Specific Developments - New An Co., Ltd. has established a new subsidiary focused on synthetic materials, indicating a strengthened global development strategy [6] - China Shenhua announced plans to acquire assets from the State Energy Group, including coal and related energy assets [6] - TAL Education Group reported a revenue of $575 million for FY26Q1, a year-on-year increase of 38.8%, with net profit significantly exceeding expectations [6]