高工锂电·2025-08-06 10:14Core Viewpoint - The eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) industry is on the brink of commercial explosion, driven by significant order inflows and accelerated airworthiness certification processes, with a projected demand for lithium batteries reaching 30GWh by 2030, indicating a new growth avenue for the lithium battery sector [2][4][8][15]. Group 1: eVTOL Orders and Market Dynamics - In July, significant orders were secured by eVTOL companies, with a total value of $2.75 billion, including a $1 billion deal for 350 E20 eVTOLs and a $1.75 billion order for 500 VE25-100 eVTOLs [2][3]. - As of 2025, eVTOL companies have reported over 1,500 intent orders, reflecting a robust market interest and potential for growth [2]. Group 2: Supply Chain and Cost Advantages - The rapid order growth is attributed to the maturity of the domestic supply chain in China, which offers cost advantages of 30%-50% lower than Western counterparts, and a significantly reduced manufacturing cost [5]. - eVTOL is expected to share 80% of its supply chain with the electric vehicle industry, allowing for the transfer of technology and experience, thus reducing development costs and time [5]. Group 3: Battery Technology and Requirements - The battery constitutes 20%-40% of the eVTOL's overall cost, and as the market scales, the demand for battery replacements will create a stable growth opportunity [8]. - eVTOL requires batteries that balance energy density, power density, and safety, with a target energy density of over 350Wh/kg for effective urban commuting [9][10]. Group 4: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are emerging as a key solution for eVTOL, offering high energy density and safety features that align with the industry's needs [12]. - Leading battery manufacturers are actively developing solid-state batteries, with companies like CATL and Aulton already making significant advancements in this area [13][14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The commercial wave of eVTOL is becoming evident, with dense orders and accelerated certification processes pushing the industry from concept to reality [15]. - The collaboration between battery technology advancements and the eVTOL market is expected to deepen, paving the way for integration into urban transportation systems [15].