2025年全球纯晶圆代工营收预计同比增长17%，受AI与高性能计算芯片驱动

Core Viewpoint - The global pure foundry industry is projected to achieve a revenue of $165 billion by 2025, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% from 2021 to 2025, driven by advanced nodes like 3nm and 5/4nm [4][8]. Industry Summary - The revenue from the global pure foundry market is expected to reach a historical high of $165 billion in 2025, compared to $105 billion in 2021, indicating a strong growth trajectory [8]. - Advanced process nodes (7nm and below) are anticipated to contribute over 56% of total revenue by 2025, fueled by demand for AI smartphones, high-performance computing (HPC), and server chips [8]. - The introduction of the 2nm process is expected to further tilt the revenue structure towards advanced nodes, with projections indicating that it will contribute over 10% of revenue by 2027 [8][9]. Node-Specific Insights - The 3nm node is expected to see a revenue increase of over 600% by 2025, reaching approximately $30 billion, while the 5/4nm nodes are projected to exceed $40 billion in revenue [4]. - The 20-12nm node range is expected to remain stable, contributing about 7% of total revenue, reflecting a transition of some chips from mature nodes to intermediate nodes [7]. - The 28nm node is highlighted as a standout among mature nodes, with an expected CAGR of 5%, despite the overall revenue share of mature nodes declining from 54% in 2021 to 36% in 2025 [9]. Competitive Landscape - TSMC is expected to be the largest beneficiary in the advanced node sector, followed by Samsung and Intel, while UMC, GlobalFoundries, and SMIC will continue to benefit from stable market demand, albeit at a slower growth rate [9]. - Innovations in front-end process technologies, such as High-NA EUV, and advancements in back-end packaging technologies are creating diverse opportunities for foundries [9].