价格暴涨80%，一天一个价的柠檬咋成了水果刺客？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant price increase of lemons in China, driven by supply-demand imbalances due to adverse weather conditions affecting production, both domestically and globally [3][11][13]. Group 1: Price Increase and Market Dynamics - In July, the national wholesale average price of lemons surged by 80.67% year-on-year, reaching 14.08 yuan per kilogram, with prices in Sichuan's Anju area rising from 3-4 yuan per jin to 8-10 yuan per jin, marking a three-year high [3][11]. - The price surge has impacted tea beverage businesses, with costs for lemon water skyrocketing, leading to situations where some businesses effectively offer it for free to customers due to high costs and discounts [5][16]. - The supply of lemons is heavily reliant on last year's inventory, as adverse weather conditions led to a 40% decrease in the fruit-bearing rate and a 52% reduction in production this year [11][12]. Group 2: Global and Domestic Production Challenges - Global lemon production has also faced challenges, with Turkey halting lemon exports due to frost damage, and other regions like South Africa and Argentina experiencing reduced harvests due to severe weather [13][14]. - Anju, which supplies 70% of China's lemons, has been particularly affected by extreme weather, compounding the supply issues [8][11]. Group 3: Future Market Outlook - The domestic demand for lemons is expected to continue increasing, with projections indicating that the market size for the lemon industry in China will reach 580 billion yuan by 2025, growing by 70 billion yuan from 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.7% [15]. - The price of lemons is unlikely to return to normal levels this year, as ongoing extreme heat conditions are expected to further impact production [18][19].