

Core Viewpoint - The recovery in industrial and automotive demand is expected to lead to continuous improvement in wafer foundry capacity utilization, with leading fabs likely to achieve performance growth [1] Industry View and Investment Recommendations - As industrial and automotive downstream sectors begin to replenish inventory, demand for BCD Analog is anticipated to grow, leading to an expected increase in wafer foundry capacity utilization in Q2 and the second half of the year. The industry is rated "Overweight" [2] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) reported Q2 2025 results with revenue of $2.209 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.7%, exceeding previous guidance. The gross margin was 20.4%, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year and down 2.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, also above the upper limit of guidance [2] - In Q2 2025, SMIC's capacity utilization rate was 92.5%, an increase of 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. For Q3 2025, the company expects revenue to increase by 5-7% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin range of 18-20% [2] - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported Q2 2025 results with revenue of $566 million, a year-on-year increase of 18.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.7%, close to the upper limit of previous guidance. The gross margin was 10.9%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year and 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the upper limit of guidance [3] - Hua Hong's equivalent 8-inch capacity was 447,000 wafers per month at the end of Q2 2025, with shipments of approximately 1.305 million wafers, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6%. The capacity utilization rate was 108.3%, an increase of 5.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - For Q3 2025, Hua Hong expects revenue in the range of $620-640 million, with a midpoint indicating an 11.3% quarter-on-quarter increase, and a gross margin range of 10-12%, with a midpoint indicating a 0.1 percentage point increase [3] Market Recovery and Capacity Utilization - According to TrendForce, the shipment of end markets such as smartphones, PCs/laptops, and servers is expected to recover year-on-year in 2025. Additionally, the automotive and industrial control sectors are anticipated to see replenishment demand after inventory corrections throughout 2024, which will support the capacity utilization of mature processes, projected to slightly increase to above 75% [4] - SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor both reported increased capacity utilization rates in Q2, reaching 92.5% and 108.3%, respectively. The overall capacity utilization rate for SMIC's 8-inch and 12-inch processes increased by 4.1%, exceeding 90% [4]