【招商电子】中芯国际：25Q3指引收入环比增长，25Q4备货能见度降低

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of $2.209 billion for Q2 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.7%, slightly exceeding guidance [2][10]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was $2.209 billion, with a gross margin of 20.4%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.5 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.1 percentage points [2][10][14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was $132 million, down 20% year-on-year and 30% quarter-on-quarter [2][10]. - The company’s total assets stood at $49.4 billion, with total liabilities of $16.7 billion and total equity of $32.7 billion [10]. Market Demand and Product Performance - Demand for analog chips, particularly in smartphone fast charging, power management, and automotive electronics, has significantly increased, with a notable growth in image sensors and RF products [3][14]. - The company expects Q3 2025 revenue to grow by 5-7% quarter-on-quarter, with both shipment volume and average selling price (ASP) anticipated to rise [3][16]. - The company’s production capacity utilization rate reached 92.5% in Q2 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.9 percentage points [2][14]. Customer Inventory and Supply Chain - Customer inventory replenishment is expected to continue into Q3 2025, although visibility for Q4 2025 is anticipated to decrease [4][16]. - The company has observed a strong demand for its products, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from domestic customers, particularly in the automotive sector [13][26]. Strategic Outlook - The company plans to maintain a stable and gradual expansion strategy, with capital expenditures projected at $7-8 billion annually [38]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product offerings, including power devices and integrated solutions, to meet the evolving needs of its customers [24][25]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with a projected annual growth rate of 5-6% over the next two years, driven by demand in AI-related foundry services [35]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing domestic substitution trend, particularly in the networking and storage sectors, which are experiencing rapid growth [30][31].