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巴勒斯坦,会亡国吗?
虎嗅APP·2025-08-10 08:51

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalation of the Israeli military actions in Gaza and the implications for the Palestinian territories, particularly focusing on the potential annexation of the West Bank and the humanitarian crisis in Gaza [4][20]. Group 1: Gaza Situation - Israel's security cabinet has approved a plan to take control of Gaza City, marking an escalation in military actions after nearly two years of conflict [4][5]. - The Israeli military aims to occupy Gaza City and surrounding refugee camps, which house a significant portion of Gaza's 2.1 million residents [5][6]. - The plan includes a demand for Palestinian residents to evacuate by October 7, coinciding with the anniversary of a Hamas attack on Israel, indicating a symbolic timing [5][7]. - The Israeli government expresses intentions to defeat Hamas and potentially expand military operations beyond Gaza City [7][8]. Group 2: West Bank Dynamics - The West Bank is divided into Areas A, B, and C, with varying degrees of Palestinian and Israeli control, complicating governance for Palestinians [12][15]. - The Oslo Accords aimed to establish a Palestinian state but have not resulted in a stable governance structure, leading to perceptions of betrayal among Palestinians [16][20]. - As of January 2023, there are 144 Jewish settlements in the West Bank, with ongoing expansion efforts by Israel, which Palestinians view as a threat to their statehood [17][19]. - Recent Israeli parliamentary decisions indicate a push towards annexing parts of the West Bank, further complicating the peace process [18][19]. Group 3: Implications for Palestinian Statehood - If Israel proceeds with the annexation of the West Bank, it could effectively nullify the Palestinian statehood process and escalate tensions in the region [20][21]. - The potential for violent conflict increases as the Palestinian Authority may feel cornered, leading to clashes with Israeli forces and settlers [21][22]. - International reactions are mixed, with some countries opposing Israel's military actions and annexation plans, indicating a growing pressure on Israel from the global community [22].