2025年上半年中国半导体产业投资额约4,550亿元，同比下滑9.8%

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant investment decline in the first half of 2025, with total investments amounting to 455 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%. However, there is a notable increase of 53.4% in semiconductor equipment investments, indicating a strategic shift towards self-sufficiency in the supply chain [6][9]. Investment Trend Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the investment in the Chinese semiconductor industry (including Taiwan) totaled 455 billion yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year, and down 41.6% compared to the previous year, showing signs of recovery [6]. - The wafer manufacturing sector remains dominant with an investment of 234 billion yuan, accounting for 51.4% of total investments, but it has decreased by 5.1% year-on-year, indicating a saturation in mature process investments [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector received 59.3 billion yuan, representing 13.0% of total investments, with an 8.1% decline, although there is a notable increase in high-end materials [7]. - Chip design and packaging/testing sectors faced significant declines, with investments of 85.3 billion yuan (down 23.7%) and 41.7 billion yuan (down 28.1%) respectively, reflecting weak consumer electronics demand and international supply chain restructuring [7]. Equipment Investment Growth Logic - The growth in semiconductor equipment investment is driven by external pressures, particularly from U.S. technology restrictions, which have spurred domestic innovation in semiconductor equipment [9]. - Policy support from national and local funds has provided strong impetus for equipment research and development, while domestic demand from wafer plant expansions has ensured stable order flows [9]. - Companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor and North China Innovation have made significant advancements in key equipment areas, positioning China as an important player in the global semiconductor equipment landscape [9]. Regional Investment Distribution - The investment distribution across China shows a high concentration, with Jiangsu province leading at 20.7%, followed by Shanghai at 18.8%, Zhejiang at 14.4%, and both Beijing and Hubei at 12.5%, collectively accounting for 78.9% of total investments [10][11]. - This concentration is attributed to the strong industrial foundation in the Yangtze River Delta, favorable policy resources, and regional collaboration effects [11]. Materials Sector Investment Focus - In the semiconductor materials sector, investments in third-generation semiconductor materials (SiC/GaN) reached 16.2 billion yuan, accounting for 27.3% of total investments, indicating a strong development trend [12]. - The electronic specialty gases sector received 11.4 billion yuan, representing 19.3% of total investments, highlighting ongoing breakthroughs in critical supply chain areas [12]. - Together, these two sectors account for nearly 50% of total investments, reflecting a strategic shift from traditional silicon-based materials to high-end specialty materials [12]. Global Industry Context - The semiconductor industry is undergoing profound cyclical adjustments and structural changes, influenced by economic downturns and geopolitical tensions [13]. - Despite challenges, China's unique development path is reshaping the global supply chain, with domestic innovation in equipment and materials being accelerated by U.S. export controls [13]. - The future trajectory of China's semiconductor industry will depend on balancing three key variables: breakthroughs in independent innovation, precise policy measures, and flexible international technological cooperation [13].