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1H’25国内消费级XR市场销量26.1万台,全年预期同比增长6.5%
CINNO Research· 2025-08-19 06:37
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese consumer-grade XR market is experiencing structural differentiation in the first half of 2025, with the AR market continuing to grow while the VR market remains in a prolonged slump due to a lack of content ecosystem and new product releases [2][5]. Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, the overall sales volume of the domestic XR consumer market reached 261,000 units, representing a 9% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 21% decline year-on-year [5]. - The domestic consumer-grade VR market is in a downturn, with VR device sales at 75,000 units, marking a three-year low, primarily due to insufficient investment in VR content and no major new product launches in the first half of the year [5]. - In contrast, the domestic consumer-grade AR device sales reached 186,000 units, showing a 35% year-on-year increase and a 28% quarter-on-quarter increase, driven by new AR glasses releases, government subsidies, and promotional events [5]. - The forecast for the entire year predicts a total of 606,000 units sold in the domestic consumer-grade XR market, a 6.5% increase compared to the previous year, mainly propelled by AR devices [5]. Brand Trends - In the VR device market, the brand landscape remains stable, with PICO holding a 46% market share, followed by Meta at 28% and Goovis at 7%. Despite the market downturn, leading manufacturers maintain their shares through cost control and ecosystem integration [6]. - The AR device market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Thunderbird Innovation leading with a 35% market share, followed by XREAL at 22%. The success of these brands is attributed to multi-dimensional strategic layouts [6][7]. Technology Trends - In the VR device market, Fast LCD screen sales share has rebounded to 87%, while Micro OLED screens remain primarily in high-end products [8]. - In the AR device market, Micro OLED screen sales share is at 87%, with Sony dominating the market. Domestic screen manufacturers like Visionary Technology have seen a 30 percentage point increase in sales share due to deep collaborations with brands like Thunderbird [8]. - Waveguide technology maintains a stable sales share of 13%, with significant technological breakthroughs allowing manufacturers to reduce costs by 40% and introduce products with a field of view exceeding 50 degrees [8]. Investment and Financing Situation - In the first half of 2025, there were 37 financing deals globally in the XR sector, amounting to 44.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 34 deals compared to the previous year but an increase of 33.5 billion yuan in total amount, indicating a trend of capital concentration towards leading projects [9]. - The investment and financing landscape in AR/VR is characterized by four major trends: capital centralization, core technology focus, ecological scene development, and regional clustering [9]. - The shift in capital from speculative concepts to substantial technological breakthroughs and commercialization is evident, with domestic breakthroughs in core components like Micro LED and silicon-based OLED expected to reshape the global supply chain [9].
2025年上半年中国新能源产业投资金额1.4万亿元,同比下降32.2%
CINNO Research· 2025-08-18 03:55
Core Viewpoint - The investment in China's new energy projects in the first half of 2025 is approximately 1.4 trillion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 32.2%, yet it remains one of the most dynamic investment directions in the technology sector, particularly in next-generation battery technology and smart grid areas [1][2]. Investment Trends - The investment landscape in the new energy sector shows a trend of "one rise and multiple declines" in the first half of 2025. Wind and solar power, traditional strongholds, accounted for 5,604 billion RMB, representing 40.8% of the industry share, but saw a year-on-year decline of 44.4%. Wind power investment reached 3,654 billion RMB, while solar power investment was 1,950 billion RMB, indicating a saturation in the market [4]. - The energy storage sector emerged as a highlight with an investment of 2,799 billion RMB, achieving a year-on-year growth of 10.5%, increasing its share to 20.3%. This growth is attributed to breakthroughs in new energy storage technologies and a surge in demand for grid-side storage [4]. - Investments in the battery sector totaled 2,430 billion RMB (17.7% share) and hydrogen energy investments were 2,304 billion RMB (16.8% share), both experiencing declines of 25.8% and 40.2% respectively, indicating a shift of capital towards areas with greater growth potential [4]. Sector Characteristics - In the wind and solar sectors, solar power investment totaled 1,950 billion RMB, with solar power station projects receiving 918 billion RMB, accounting for 47.1%, highlighting the focus on large-scale centralized power stations. Wind power investment was highly concentrated, with 3,524 billion RMB in operational projects making up 96.4% of total wind investment [5]. - In the battery sector, 2,430 billion RMB was invested, with the cell manufacturing segment receiving 1,242 billion RMB, representing 51.1%, indicating continued capital interest in core manufacturing as new battery technologies advance [5]. - In the energy storage sector, 2,799 billion RMB was invested, with pumped storage accounting for 1,482 billion RMB (52.9%), maintaining its dominant position, while investments in new energy storage technologies are steadily increasing [5]. Regional Distribution - The investment in new energy in the first half of 2025 exhibited significant regional concentration, with Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang leading at 15.1% and 11.7% respectively, contributing to a total of 42.9% of the industry’s total investment when combined with provinces like Sichuan, Jiangsu, and Fujian [8]. - This distribution pattern is closely related to local resource endowments and policy support, with Inner Mongolia leveraging its abundant wind and solar resources, and Xinjiang attracting substantial investment due to its energy transition demonstration zone [8]. Future Outlook - The new energy industry in China is expected to enter a new phase of high-quality development in 2025, driven by policy support and technological innovation. The installed capacity for wind and solar power has surpassed 1.4 billion kilowatts, and the penetration rate of the new energy vehicle market is projected to exceed 60% [9]. - The development of new power systems is accelerating, with large-scale integration projects for source, grid, load, and storage being promoted, significantly enhancing the capacity for renewable energy consumption [9].
8月手机面板行情:旺季需求支撑,LTPS/AMOLED价格持平
CINNO Research· 2025-08-15 04:33
Core Viewpoint - The overall mobile panel market maintains high operating rates during the traditional peak season in Q3, with varying dynamics across different panel types [3]. Group 1: a-Si Panels - Demand for a-Si panels remains strong, driving major manufacturers to operate at full capacity. However, aggressive pricing strategies by module manufacturers to secure new project orders have led to a slight decline in a-Si module prices [3]. - Key raw materials, such as driver ICs, are in a price down cycle, contributing to the pressure on module pricing [3]. Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS production lines benefit from strong demand in the automotive and non-mobile sectors, maintaining high operating rates. The LTPS production status at Tianma is expected to continue until the end of the year [3]. - Despite the robust performance in non-mobile applications, the smartphone sector shows a relatively balanced supply-demand relationship, keeping panel prices stable in the short term [3]. Group 3: AMOLED Panels - The demand for rigid AMOLED panels has significantly declined due to mainstream mobile brands shifting towards flexible AMOLED technology. Price reductions by major manufacturers like Samsung Display have had limited effects on stimulating demand [3]. - In the flexible AMOLED market, manufacturers are operating close to full capacity due to pre-peak season stocking, but new project prices are under pressure due to intense competition during the bidding phase, while old project prices remain stable [3]. - Forecasts indicate a slight decline in a-Si module prices in August and September 2025, while LTPS and rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [3].
2025年上半年中国光电显示产业投资金额1,035亿元,同比下降26.7%
CINNO Research· 2025-08-14 03:24
Core Viewpoint - The investment amount in China's optoelectronic display industry for the first half of 2025 is approximately 103.5 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.7%, with funds primarily directed towards display panels and MLED-related materials [1][2]. Investment Breakdown - The investment in the display panel sector reached 45.1 billion RMB, accounting for 43.6% of the total, but this represents an 18.3% decrease compared to the same period last year, indicating an adjustment in traditional panel capacity [4]. - The Mini/Micro LED (MLED) sector received 23.0% of the total investment, amounting to 23.8 billion RMB, despite a significant year-on-year decline of 48.5%, maintaining its position as the second-largest investment area [4]. - Investment in optoelectronic module projects totaled 17.4 billion RMB, representing 16.8% of the total, with a year-on-year decrease of 37.8% [4]. - Notably, the optoelectronic materials sector experienced a 34.6% growth, with an investment amount of 16 billion RMB, increasing its share to 15.5%, highlighting the rising strategic value of upstream components in the industry [4]. Regional Investment Distribution - The investment in China's optoelectronic display industry shows a clear regional concentration, with the top five investment areas accounting for 78.8% of the total funds. Sichuan leads with 28.4 billion RMB, representing 27.5% of the total, followed by Hunan with 22.5 billion RMB, or 21.8% [5]. - Domestic capital dominates the investment landscape, making up 87.4% of the total, while investments from Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea are on the decline, indicating a trend towards localization in the optoelectronic display industry [5]. Key Projects - A significant investment project in the first half of 2025 is the Huike full-color M-LED new display chip base project, with a total investment of 10 billion RMB located in Nanchong, Sichuan, and a planned monthly production capacity of 100,000 units [7]. Material Sector Trends - In the optoelectronic materials sector, optical films received 7.6 billion RMB, leading the investment but showing a 15.7% decline year-on-year, indicating a more rational investment approach [7]. - The photomask segment saw a remarkable increase, with investments reaching 3.8 billion RMB, a staggering year-on-year growth of 415.0%, making it the fastest-growing category [7]. - The electronic chemicals sector attracted 1.8 billion RMB in investment, reflecting a shift in investment structure as the industry undergoes a critical transformation driven by technological upgrades and product iterations [7]. Market Outlook - The global optoelectronic display panel industry is poised for a new round of development opportunities in 2025, driven by advancements in 5G communication and artificial intelligence, with continuous upgrades in smart terminal devices and increasing demand for automotive displays contributing to steady industry expansion [8]. - The market is experiencing a dual-track development approach, with traditional LCD technology maintaining stable growth due to its established supply chain, while OLED technology is gaining traction for its flexible display features, leading to increased market penetration [8].
2025年上半年全球AMOLED手机面板出货量同比微增0.2%
CINNO Research· 2025-08-12 23:34
Core Viewpoint - The global AMOLED smartphone panel shipment is projected to reach approximately 420 million units in the first half of 2025, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.2%, despite a decline in the second quarter [2][5]. Market Overview - The AMOLED technology is demonstrating an irreversible trend of replacement due to its advantages such as high contrast, low power consumption, and lightweight design, which are key drivers for market resilience [2]. - In the first half of 2025, Chinese manufacturers accounted for 51.7% of the global AMOLED smartphone panel market share, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, while South Korea's share decreased to 48.3%, down 1 percentage point [5]. Company Performance - Samsung Display (SDC) experienced a year-on-year shipment decline of 6.3%, with its market share dropping from 43.8% to 40.9%, indicating a 2.8 percentage point decrease [6]. - BOE's shipments grew by 6.7%, maintaining a 17.1% market share, which is an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, supported by a dual strategy of high-end breakthroughs and mid-range volume [6]. - Tianma's shipments rose by 16.6%, achieving a market share of 10.8%, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, marking the largest increase among domestic manufacturers [6]. - CSOT's shipments increased by 4.9%, with a market share of 10.2%, up 0.5 percentage points, benefiting from deep collaborations with domestic brands like Xiaomi [6]. Quarterly Analysis - In the second quarter of 2025, global AMOLED smartphone panel shipments were approximately 210 million units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.4% [9]. - The decline in shipments was attributed to adjustments in terminal brand procurement rhythms, with major brands postponing some orders to the third quarter to control inventory [9]. - In the second quarter, South Korean manufacturers held a 47.4% market share, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year, while domestic manufacturers' share rose to 52.6%, continuing to show strong growth [9]. Competitive Landscape - In Q2 2025, SDC's AMOLED smartphone panel shipments fell by 17.4% year-on-year, with a market share of 40.8%, down 5.4 percentage points [10]. - BOE achieved a year-on-year growth of 9.6% and a market share of 17.3%, up 2.5 percentage points [10]. - Visionox, despite a 4.9% year-on-year decline, saw a 28.9% quarter-on-quarter growth, with a market share of 11.2%, up 0.2 percentage points [10]. - Tianma's shipments increased by 13.3% year-on-year and 4.5% quarter-on-quarter, with a market share of 11.1%, up 1.9 percentage points, driven by capacity release from its Xiamen G6 production line [10].
2025年上半年中国半导体产业投资额约4,550亿元,同比下滑9.8%
CINNO Research· 2025-08-11 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant investment decline in the first half of 2025, with total investments amounting to 455 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%. However, there is a notable increase of 53.4% in semiconductor equipment investments, indicating a strategic shift towards self-sufficiency in the supply chain [6][9]. Investment Trend Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the investment in the Chinese semiconductor industry (including Taiwan) totaled 455 billion yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year, and down 41.6% compared to the previous year, showing signs of recovery [6]. - The wafer manufacturing sector remains dominant with an investment of 234 billion yuan, accounting for 51.4% of total investments, but it has decreased by 5.1% year-on-year, indicating a saturation in mature process investments [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector received 59.3 billion yuan, representing 13.0% of total investments, with an 8.1% decline, although there is a notable increase in high-end materials [7]. - Chip design and packaging/testing sectors faced significant declines, with investments of 85.3 billion yuan (down 23.7%) and 41.7 billion yuan (down 28.1%) respectively, reflecting weak consumer electronics demand and international supply chain restructuring [7]. Equipment Investment Growth Logic - The growth in semiconductor equipment investment is driven by external pressures, particularly from U.S. technology restrictions, which have spurred domestic innovation in semiconductor equipment [9]. - Policy support from national and local funds has provided strong impetus for equipment research and development, while domestic demand from wafer plant expansions has ensured stable order flows [9]. - Companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor and North China Innovation have made significant advancements in key equipment areas, positioning China as an important player in the global semiconductor equipment landscape [9]. Regional Investment Distribution - The investment distribution across China shows a high concentration, with Jiangsu province leading at 20.7%, followed by Shanghai at 18.8%, Zhejiang at 14.4%, and both Beijing and Hubei at 12.5%, collectively accounting for 78.9% of total investments [10][11]. - This concentration is attributed to the strong industrial foundation in the Yangtze River Delta, favorable policy resources, and regional collaboration effects [11]. Materials Sector Investment Focus - In the semiconductor materials sector, investments in third-generation semiconductor materials (SiC/GaN) reached 16.2 billion yuan, accounting for 27.3% of total investments, indicating a strong development trend [12]. - The electronic specialty gases sector received 11.4 billion yuan, representing 19.3% of total investments, highlighting ongoing breakthroughs in critical supply chain areas [12]. - Together, these two sectors account for nearly 50% of total investments, reflecting a strategic shift from traditional silicon-based materials to high-end specialty materials [12]. Global Industry Context - The semiconductor industry is undergoing profound cyclical adjustments and structural changes, influenced by economic downturns and geopolitical tensions [13]. - Despite challenges, China's unique development path is reshaping the global supply chain, with domestic innovation in equipment and materials being accelerated by U.S. export controls [13]. - The future trajectory of China's semiconductor industry will depend on balancing three key variables: breakthroughs in independent innovation, precise policy measures, and flexible international technological cooperation [13].
CINNO·ePaper Insight 首席分析师周华解读全球电子纸产业发展趋势
CINNO Research· 2025-08-11 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the rapid growth and innovation in the electronic paper industry, driven by low power consumption and eye-friendly features, with significant market expansion expected in the coming years [2][5][10]. Group 1: Market Growth and Trends - By the first half of 2025, global electronic paper module shipments are projected to reach 260 million units, representing a 54% year-on-year increase [2]. - The electronic shelf label (ESL) module shipments are expected to grow by 56% year-on-year, while electronic paper tablets are anticipated to increase by 25% [2]. - The global electronic paper industry market size surpassed $5 billion in 2024, with total shipments nearing 400 million units, and is expected to grow to 460 million units in 2025, reflecting a 21% year-on-year growth [7][8]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The core feature of electronic paper technology is its "dual-stable" characteristic, which allows for static display without power consumption, making it a key choice for low-carbon displays [5]. - E Ink's electrophoretic technology has evolved from black-and-white capsules to color micro-cup technology, achieving breakthroughs in color display [5]. - The electronic paper price tags have completed the transition from three colors to four colors, entering a stable delivery phase [7]. Group 3: Application Expansion - The electronic paper industry is entering a high-speed development phase, with significant applications in retail, education, and consumer electronics [7][10]. - In the retail sector, major players like Walmart are transitioning to electronic price tags, significantly boosting new retail shipments [7]. - The commercial display market is expected to see a surge in large-sized color products, with brands like Samsung and Sharp actively entering the market [10]. Group 4: Future Projections - The electronic paper industry is anticipated to exceed $10 billion in market size in the coming years, driven by the acceleration of color technology penetration and commercial display market expansion [10]. - The market share of electronic paper tablets is projected to surpass that of new retail electronic price tags for the first time, reaching 54% in the first half of 2025 [8].
8月电视面板行情:需求初现回暖迹象,面板价格跌幅有望收窄
CINNO Research· 2025-08-07 23:32
01 据CINNO Research数据显示,今年二季度国内市场TV销售量同比下滑10%,多省市6月国补政策暂停 或成为其下滑主要原因。进入三季度7月,终端需求转弱导致面板价格跌幅扩大。今年8月随着国补资金全 部到位,国补政策将持续发挥效能,叠加品牌厂或提前为旺季备货,终端需求有望温和复苏。此外,面板 厂或策略性上调稼动率以响应订单回暖,部分面板价格在两端支撑的情况下或减小跌幅。 02 " 进入8月,部分品牌商启动四季度旺季备货,同时国补资金逐步到位、叠加美对华及墨西哥关税政策90 天缓冲期,对终端需求回暖带来一定的积极影响。面板厂或延续供应宽松格局,预计8月面板价格跌幅将 有所收窄。 " | | | | | Worldwide TV Display Panel Price Dynamic | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Size & Resolution | | Technology | Jul.25' | Aug.25'(E) | Differ | | 32" | 60Hz | HD | LCD | $32.0 | $32.0 | ...
DIC专题论坛丨CINNO首席分析师周华:全球电子纸产业发展趋势
CINNO Research· 2025-08-06 23:30
Core Viewpoint - The electronic paper technology is rapidly emerging as a significant innovation direction in the display field, driven by the concepts of green low-carbon and healthy displays. The market is expected to experience a new wave of growth in 2024, with colorization and larger sizes becoming the core trends in the industry, showcasing broad application prospects in consumer electronics and commercial displays [3]. Industry Development Trends - The global electronic paper market is projected to grow significantly in 2024, with increasing demand for efficient displays and low energy consumption in various applications such as smart retail and large commercial displays [3]. - The new display industry achieved a remarkable growth of 17% in 2024, reaching a scale of $219.8 billion, with China's new display industry accounting for half of the global market at $108 billion [5]. - The industry is transitioning from scale leadership to technological leadership, with continuous breakthroughs in technology innovation and supply chain integration among Chinese display companies [5]. Challenges Ahead - The display industry faces new challenges in 2025, including the restructuring of global trade patterns, accelerated technological divergence, and deepened application scenario expansion. Factors such as tariff barriers and geopolitical issues are leading to a reshuffling of the display industry chain [5]. - Key questions for industry participants include the direction of technological iteration, optimization of capacity layout, and exploration of emerging application markets [5]. Conference Overview - The 2025 Global Display Industry Mid-Year Data Release Conference will be held on August 7, 2025, in Shanghai, focusing on market trends and technological insights. The conference will feature various industry analysis institutions discussing market structure, technological routes, supply chain security, investment hotspots, and policy guidance [5].
国内市场智能手机复合材料后盖渗透率连续三季度稳定在10%以上
CINNO Research· 2025-08-06 03:54
Core Viewpoint - The penetration rate of composite material back covers for smartphones in the Chinese market has remained stable at over 10% for three consecutive quarters [3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The trend of smartphone back cover penetration rates in the Chinese market from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 shows a consistent increase [3]. - The market share of glass back covers among various smartphone brands has been analyzed, highlighting the competitive landscape [3]. - The market share of composite material back covers among different smartphone brands has also been assessed, indicating shifts in consumer preferences [3]. Group 2: Brand-Specific Analysis - The sales volume and market share of Apple smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been detailed [3]. - The sales volume and market share of Huawei smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been outlined [3]. - The sales volume and market share of Vivo smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been reported [3]. - The sales volume and market share of Xiaomi smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been documented [3]. - The sales volume and market share of OPPO smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been analyzed [3]. - The sales volume and market share of Honor smartphone back covers by specifications from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been examined [3]. Group 3: Pricing Trends - The average price trends of smartphone back covers by specifications in the Chinese market from Q1 2023 to Q2 2025 have been tracked [3].