远川投资评论·2025-08-13 07:04Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting performances of major tech companies in the U.S. stock market, particularly focusing on the MAG7 group, highlighting the significant divergence in stock prices and the impact of AI and tariffs on their valuations [2][4]. Group 1: Performance of MAG7 - As of August 11, 2025, the stock prices of the MAG7 companies show significant divergence, with Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft leading, while Apple and Tesla lag behind with notable declines [2]. - Nvidia's market capitalization stands at $4.4 trillion, while Apple's and Tesla's combined market cap of $3.4 trillion is still less than Nvidia's [2]. Group 2: Factors Affecting Tesla - Tesla and Apple are not major players in the AI market, which is a key driver of valuation for tech stocks, and both companies face challenges from tariffs and supply chain issues [4]. - Tesla's Q2 2025 revenue was $22.496 billion, a 12% year-over-year decline, marking the largest quarterly revenue drop since 2012 [8]. - The company is experiencing a significant drop in annual sales, with 2024 projected to be the first year of annual sales decline in nearly a decade [9]. Group 3: Challenges for Apple - Apple's stock performance is hindered by its conservative approach to AI, leading to lower growth expectations compared to peers like Meta, which reported a 22% revenue growth in Q2 2025 [19]. - Despite a strong Q2 2025 financial report with revenues of $94.04 billion and net profits of $23.423 billion, Apple's stock still saw a decline due to concerns over its AI strategy [18]. - Apple's capital expenditure for AI in FY2024 is projected at $9.447 billion, which is lower than ten years ago, indicating a lack of aggressive investment in AI compared to competitors [21]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Leadership - The article notes a trend of tech founders returning to lead their companies amid the AI revolution, contrasting with Apple's situation where it lacks a founder's direct involvement [22]. - The article emphasizes that while Apple has returned significant shareholder value through stock buybacks, its ability to adapt to the AI wave remains in question [23].