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“大空头”香橼再度做空 Palantir:这已经“远超高估范畴”了

Core Viewpoint - Andrew Left, founder of Citron Research, believes that Palantir's stock price needs to drop to $40 or $50 to be considered truly cheap, indicating a potential decline of over 70% from current levels [1][5]. Group 1: Short Selling Palantir - Citron Research has targeted Palantir as the next "retail darling" to short, following the GameStop saga [3]. - Left announced his short position on Palantir, stating that the company is "far beyond the realm of overvaluation" [4]. - Following the announcement, Palantir's stock price fell 1.4% to $184.37, despite a year-to-date increase of 145% and a 12-month rise of 506% [5]. Group 2: Valuation Concerns - Left argues that it is contradictory for a big data company to ask investors to ignore valuation metrics, emphasizing that the current stock price remains excessively high even if Palantir is the greatest company ever [9]. - He refutes the notion that Palantir dominates the data analytics field, pointing out that competitors like Databricks are also in the market and have more customers [9]. Group 3: Historical Context - Left had previously included Palantir in his "holiday short list" at the end of 2020, setting a target price of $20, which represented over a 50% decline from then-current levels [10]. - Despite his earlier predictions, Palantir's stock surged due to the AI boom, continuously breaking valuation records since 2024 [11]. Group 4: Broader Investment Views - In addition to shorting Palantir, Left expressed bullish views on Rocket Companies, calling it a potential "Amazon of the housing sector," and expects it to benefit from pent-up housing demand and declining mortgage rates [13]. - Left maintains a bullish stance on Amazon and Apple, which, along with his short position on Palantir, forms a balanced investment strategy [13].