李嘉诚，这次嗅到了危险

Core Viewpoint - Li Ka-shing's rapid divestment of assets in China raises questions about his future strategies and the implications for the real estate market [5][7][22] Group 1: Asset Divestment - In July, Li Ka-shing's Cheung Kong Group sold 400 residential units across four projects, with prices starting as low as 400,000 HKD, significantly lower than typical market entry points [5][7] - The urgency of this asset liquidation during a market downturn has led to speculation about whether it is a strategic move to reallocate funds or an indication of retreat from the Chinese market [7][13] - The sale has attracted many buyers from Hong Kong, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics and buyer sentiment [7] Group 2: Historical Context and Strategy - Li Ka-shing's past strategies involved acquiring land during downturns and selling during peaks, but the current divestment appears to contradict this pattern [7][14] - The case of the South City Hub project in Chengdu illustrates his long-term strategy of land hoarding and delayed development, which has historically yielded significant profits [14][15] - The project saw a land purchase in 2004 for over 2.1 billion HKD, with a floor price of 1,030 HKD/sqm, later selling at an average residential price of 24,000 HKD/sqm in 2020, resulting in substantial gains [15][19] Group 3: Market Implications - Li Ka-shing's divestment signals a potential shift in the real estate landscape, as it may exacerbate supply-demand imbalances and increase housing affordability challenges for ordinary citizens [22][23] - The tightening of regulations against land hoarding and speculation since 2015 has impacted the operational strategies of major real estate players, including Li Ka-shing [26][28] - The evolving regulatory environment suggests that traditional strategies of "time for space" may no longer be viable, indicating a need for adaptation in investment approaches [28][29] Group 4: Broader Economic Context - The changing global economic landscape, particularly in the context of US-China relations, has influenced perceptions of capital and investment strategies, with a growing emphasis on long-term value creation [37][38] - The narrative surrounding Li Ka-shing reflects broader societal concerns about the role of capital in economic development and the need for responsible investment practices that benefit the wider community [34][36]