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【银行】盈利增速改善,息差韧性增强——2025年二季度商业银行主要监管指标点评(2025年8月第1期)(王一峰/董文欣)
光大证券研究·2025-08-17 23:07

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance of commercial banks in the first half of 2025, indicating a slight decline in net profit but improvements in various operational metrics, suggesting a mixed outlook for the banking sector [4][5]. Group 1: Profitability and Performance - In the first half of 2025, commercial banks achieved a net profit of 1.24 trillion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2%, with the decline narrowing by 1.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [4][5]. - The average capital return rate was 8.19%, down 0.63 percentage points from the previous quarter, while the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.49%, a decrease of 2 basis points [4][9]. - The profitability growth rates for different types of banks were as follows: state-owned banks +1.1%, joint-stock banks -2%, city commercial banks -1.1%, and rural commercial banks -7.9% [5]. Group 2: Asset Growth and Structure - The total asset growth rate of commercial banks increased by 1.7 percentage points to 8.9% by the end of the second quarter, with new asset investments amounting to 8.6 trillion, an increase of 6.5 trillion year-on-year [7]. - Loan and non-loan asset growth rates were 7.5% and 10.8%, respectively, both showing improvements from the previous quarter [7][8]. - The stock of loans accounted for 57.1% of total assets, slightly down by 0.5 percentage points, indicating a stable asset structure [7]. Group 3: Interest Margin and Cost Control - The net interest margin for commercial banks was recorded at 1.42%, slightly narrowing by 1 basis point from the first quarter [8]. - The interest margins for different bank types were: state-owned banks 1.31%, joint-stock banks 1.55%, city commercial banks 1.37%, and rural commercial banks 1.58% [8]. Group 4: Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan ratio decreased by 2 basis points to 1.49%, with the total NPL balance at 3.4 trillion, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [9]. - The attention loan ratio was 2.17%, down 1 basis point, indicating a stable overall asset quality despite pressures in retail loan segments [9].