【周观点】8月第1周乘用车环比-18.8%，继续看好汽车板块

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is entering a new crossroads phase, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) dividend and the dawn of intelligent vehicle technology. The company suggests increasing the allocation weight of "dividend style" investments in the second half of 2025 [6][9]. Group 1: Weekly Review - In the first week of August, the compulsory insurance for vehicles reached 375,000 units, showing a week-on-week decrease of 18.8% but a month-on-month increase of 3.6% [12]. - The performance of sub-sectors this week ranked as follows: SW motorcycles and others (+6.9%) > SW auto parts (+3.5%) > SW automobiles (+3.1%) > SW passenger vehicles (+2.1%) > SW commercial cargo vehicles (+1.8%) > SW commercial passenger vehicles (+0.2%) [12]. - The top five stocks covered this week with the highest gains were Yinlun Co., Chuanfeng Power, Junsheng Electronics, Jingwei Hengrun-W, and Naisite [12]. Group 2: Industry Changes - The collaboration between Xiaopeng Motors and Volkswagen has been upgraded, with a joint development of an electronic and electrical architecture that will be integrated into Volkswagen's pure electric vehicle platform in China, as well as its fuel and plug-in hybrid platforms [5]. - Geely Automobile reported a revenue of 77.7 billion yuan for Q2 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 28.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.3%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.62 billion yuan, down 60.0% year-on-year and 36.2% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - BAIC Blue Valley's Q2 revenue was 5.744 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 156.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 52.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -1.355 billion yuan [5]. - A strategic partnership was established between Obsidian Light and Horizon Robotics, as well as with Digua Robotics, to promote the intelligence of robots [5]. - Junsheng Electronics has formed a strategic partnership with leading intelligent driving algorithm company Momenta [5]. Group 3: Market Focus - The automotive sector performed well this week, with A-shares showing better performance compared to Hong Kong stocks. The motorcycle sub-sector continued to lead in performance [8]. - The core changes this week included the general performance of domestic demand being average, the upgrade of the Xiaopeng and Volkswagen collaboration, the strategic partnership between Junsheng Electronics and Momenta, and the Q2 performance of Geely and BAIC Blue Valley meeting expectations [8][13]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company recommends increasing the allocation weight of "dividend style" investments in the automotive sector for the second half of 2025 [6][9]. - The main lines for investment include: - Dividend & Good Pattern: Buses (Yutong Bus), Heavy Trucks (China National Heavy Duty Truck A-H / Weichai Power), Two-wheelers (Chuanfeng Power / Longxin General), and Auto Parts (Fuyao Glass + Xingyu Co. + Xinquan Co. + Jifeng Co.) [9]. - AI Intelligentization Main Line: Preferred stocks in Hong Kong (Xiaopeng Motors-W / Li Auto-W / Xiaomi Group-W) > A-shares (Seres / SAIC Group / BYD); preferred auto parts (Horizon Robotics-W / China Automotive Research / Desay SV / Bertley / Hezhima Intelligent) [9]. - AI Robotics Main Line: Preferred auto parts (Top Group + Precision Forging Technology + Fuda Co. + Xusheng Group + Aikedi) [9].