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海外高频 | 美俄谈判未达协议,美国7月核心商品CPI低预期(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索·2025-08-18 16:03

Group 1 - The article discusses the positive performance of the US economy in July, which exceeded expectations, leading to a reversal in the global capital "rebalancing" trend, with funds flowing back to the US [2] - Developed market indices saw an overall increase, with the Nikkei 225 rising by 3.7% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.9% [4][5] - The article highlights the significant rebound in glass prices, which increased by 13.9% [50] Group 2 - The article notes that the US core CPI for July was weaker than expected, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, aligning with market expectations, but the performance of goods related to tariffs was notably weak [70][74] - The article mentions that the market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September has increased, driven by the weaker-than-expected CPI data [70] Group 3 - The article reports that the US Treasury auction demand remained robust, with strong absorption rates for short-term bonds, indicating stable interest from overseas and money market funds [68] - The article details the performance of various sectors within the S&P 500, with healthcare, consumer discretionary, and communication services rising by 4.6%, 2.5%, and 2.1% respectively [10]