大行科工：折叠车之王赴港上市的高增长与暗礁

Company Overview - Company is a technology-driven leader in the global folding bicycle industry, focusing on R&D, design, and global marketing of folding bicycles and related products [1] - The product line includes over 70 models, covering various categories such as folding bikes, road bikes, mountain bikes, children's bikes, and electric assist bikes [1] Industry Position - Company is the largest folding bicycle manufacturer globally, achieving a retail volume of 226,400 units in 2024, capturing 6.2% of the market share [2] - The company holds 26.3% of the retail volume share and 36.5% of the retail value share in the folding bicycle industry, leading the second competitor by over 10 percentage points [2] - Company possesses 130 global patents, including 113 valid patents in mainland China and 22 in Europe, the US, and Japan, enhancing its competitive edge [2] Financial Performance - Revenue growth from 2022 to 2024 was significant, with figures of 250 million, 300 million, and 450 million RMB, respectively, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.1% [3] - Gross profit for the same period was 77.93 million, 101.49 million, and 148.75 million RMB, with a CAGR of 38.1% [3] - In the first four months of 2025, revenue reached 180 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 46.9% [3] Sales and Revenue Dynamics - The core growth driver for revenue is the optimization of product structure, with mid-range products (priced between 2,500-5,000 RMB) becoming the main revenue engine [8] - The revenue share of mid-to-high-end models increased from 44.9% in 2022 to 69.5% in 2024, with the average product price rising from 1,593 RMB to 1,966 RMB over three years [8] Challenges - The global folding bicycle market growth rate is slowing, with a projected CAGR of 7.3% from 2024 to 2029, compared to 13.4% from 2019 to 2024 [11] - The company's reliance on the domestic market is increasing, with domestic sales accounting for 93.4% of total revenue in the first three quarters of 2024 [13] - High dependency on OEM manufacturers for production, with over 65% of production outsourced, leading to potential quality control issues and lower profit margins [14] IPO and Future Strategy - The company plans to raise 1.5 billion HKD through an IPO, with funds allocated for production system upgrades, channel optimization, and R&D enhancements [18] - The strategic focus includes increasing the revenue share of electric products from 8% to 30% and expanding the Southeast Asian distribution network [18] - The company aims to enhance its product matrix by developing new categories such as electric assist bikes and children's bikes to meet diverse consumer demands [19]