Wind万得·2025-08-19 23:00Market Performance - The US stock market showed mixed performance, with the S&P 500 index declining by 0.59% to 6411.37 points, while the Nasdaq composite index fell by 1.46% to 21314.95 points. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly increased by 0.02% to 44922.27 points, reaching a historical high during the trading session, driven by Home Depot's strong stock performance [1][2]. Technology Sector Adjustment - The technology sector was the main drag on the market, with Nvidia's stock dropping by 3.5%. Other chip manufacturers also faced selling pressure, with Advanced Micro Devices down 5.4% and Broadcom down 3.6%. Palantir, a previously strong software company, saw a decline of over 9%, becoming the largest loser among S&P 500 constituents. Major tech stocks like Tesla, Meta, and Netflix also faced pressure, indicating a cooling of market enthusiasm for large tech companies [2][4]. Market Sentiment and Rotation - Market participants believe the adjustment in tech stocks is a natural correction following previous gains. The Chief Investment Officer of Lincoln Financial, Jason Blonquist, noted that while AI-related trades are not collapsing, a "deep breath" may be occurring. Since April, the Nasdaq index has risen over 40%, and it is normal for the market to pause as it recalibrates around new economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Capital may be rotating from leading tech companies to others that can effectively utilize AI to enhance profitability and efficiency, potentially supporting a more sustainable rally [4]. Retail Sector Focus - Home Depot's stock rose by 3%, contributing to the Dow's record high, despite the company’s second-quarter performance falling short of expectations. The company maintained its full-year outlook, boosting market confidence. Investors are focusing on the retail sector, with major retailers like Lowe's, Walmart, and Target set to report earnings this week, which will provide insights into consumer spending amid complex inflation and changing US trade policies [4]. Federal Reserve's Upcoming Meeting - The market is closely watching the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Investors expect this speech to set the tone for the September policy meeting. There is a high probability (over 80%) that the Fed will lower rates by 25 basis points in September, while the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut is negligible [5][8]. Credit Rating Outlook - S&P Global Ratings has maintained the US sovereign credit rating at AA+/A-1+ with a stable outlook, despite rising deficit pressures from recent fiscal policies. The agency believes that new tariff policies will generate significant fiscal revenue, mitigating the risk of fiscal deterioration. However, S&P warns that the US debt level remains concerning and may continue to rise, driven by non-discretionary spending and increasing interest expenses [12][13].