IPO日报·2025-08-20 00:53Core Viewpoint - The upcoming unlock of approximately 359 million restricted shares of Dazhu CNC Technology Co., Ltd. is expected to significantly impact its market capitalization, potentially reaching 31.743 billion yuan, which could lead to increased volatility in the stock price due to a more than 579% increase in the circulating shares [1][4][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - Dazhu CNC, established in April 2002, specializes in PCB production equipment solutions and was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in February 2022, with plans to apply for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in May 2025 [4][8]. - The company is the leading manufacturer of PCB production equipment globally, holding approximately 6.5% of the global market share and 10.1% of the domestic market share [8][9]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Dazhu CNC's revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 2.786 billion yuan, 1.634 billion yuan, and 3.343 billion yuan, respectively, with a significant decline of 41.3% in 2023, followed by a recovery of 104.56% in 2024 due to increased demand from the AI industry and the recovery of the consumer electronics sector [8][9]. - The net profit for the same period was 432 million yuan, 136 million yuan, and 300 million yuan, with a notable increase of 120.82% in 2024 [9][10]. - The gross margin has been declining, with figures of approximately 34.02%, 29.18%, and 27.15% from 2022 to 2024, primarily due to increased competition and pricing strategies [9][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global PCB equipment market is projected to grow from approximately 5.84 billion USD in 2020 to about 7.085 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9%, and expected to reach around 10.765 billion USD by 2029 with a CAGR of 8.7% [8]. - The competitive landscape is fragmented, with the top five manufacturers holding about 20.9% of the total market share [8]. Group 4: Cash Flow and Valuation - Dazhu CNC has experienced a decline in cash flow from operating activities, with net cash from operations of 655 million yuan, 417 million yuan, and 155 million yuan from 2022 to 2024 [10]. - The company's trade receivables have remained high, with 2.268 billion yuan, 1.756 billion yuan, and 2.846 billion yuan reported at the end of each respective year, indicating potential liquidity issues [10]. - As of August 18, the company's market capitalization was 38.13 billion yuan, with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 107.6, suggesting high market expectations for future growth but also indicating a risk of overvaluation [10].