Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the severe economic consequences of the ongoing war in Russia, highlighting the increasing financial strain on various sectors, the rising military expenditures, and the paradox of low unemployment amidst widespread business failures [6][9][10]. Group 1: Economic Impact of the War - As of mid-2024, 141,000 legal entities in Russia declared bankruptcy, with manufacturing, construction, and trade accounting for over 70% of these failures [10]. - By the end of 2024, 66% of the labor population had personal debts totaling 38.5 trillion rubles, with a household overdue loan rate of 10.5% in Q1 2025, indicating growing financial pressure [7]. - Despite the collapse of numerous small and medium enterprises, the unemployment rate remained at a historical low of 2.2% in June 2025, raising questions about the accuracy of employment data [9]. Group 2: Military Expenditures - In 2024, Russia's direct defense spending surged to 10.8 trillion rubles, tripling compared to 2021, with total military expenditures reaching at least 13.85 trillion rubles, accounting for 38% of the budget and 7.7% of GDP [10][11]. - The military budget for 2025 is projected to increase by 25% to 13.5 trillion rubles, with total war-related expenditures expected to exceed 16.55 trillion rubles [10][11]. - The total salary expenditure for the military in 2025 is estimated to be at least 39 trillion rubles, reflecting the significant financial burden of maintaining military personnel [13][14]. Group 3: Resource Depletion and Economic Strain - The war has led to a drastic reduction in Russia's arms exports, plummeting from a stable level of $14-15 billion to below $1 billion since 2023, while military equipment imports have surged [20][23]. - The procurement of military equipment from abroad is expected to rise from 180 billion rubles in 2021 to 440 billion rubles by 2025, indicating a reliance on foreign supplies due to domestic production limitations [23]. - The overall military spending in 2025 is projected to exceed 35 trillion rubles, with additional costs for repairs, weapon supplies, and logistics, compounding the economic challenges faced by the country [26]. Group 4: Inflation and Public Sentiment - Inflation in Russia has decreased to 8.8% in 2025, but real wages have declined, with essential food prices rising significantly, leading to a decrease in purchasing power for the populace [36]. - The government has introduced a "war tax" on businesses with annual revenues exceeding 1 billion rubles, alongside increased income tax rates, reflecting the financial strain on the economy [38]. - Public sentiment is shifting as the war drags on, with increasing casualties and declining living standards potentially undermining support for the conflict [44].
俄罗斯没钱了
首席商业评论·2025-08-20 04:26