高工锂电·2025-08-20 10:46Core Viewpoint - The Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market has seen significant growth in the first half of 2025, with Geely Automotive becoming the second-largest in new energy sales and Leap Motor achieving the highest sales among new forces. Both companies have surpassed one million units in cumulative sales, indicating a demand increase of approximately 100 GWh for battery supply [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The growth in the EV market is largely driven by government policies promoting vehicle trade-ins, alongside a trend of "consumption downgrade," where lower-priced models are becoming the main sales drivers [2]. - Geely's new energy brand "Galaxy" has achieved over one million cumulative sales within 24 months, with a remarkable 232% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, selling 548,000 units [2]. - Leap Motor delivered over 220,000 units in the first half of 2025, surpassing competitors like Ideal and Xiaopeng, and has raised its delivery guidance for 2025 to between 580,000 and 650,000 units [2]. Group 2: Battery Supply Challenges - Geely is facing a battery supply shortage due to its rapid expansion, prompting the company to seek additional capacity from external suppliers [3]. - The establishment of the independent "Jiyao Tongxing" battery group aims to consolidate Geely's battery operations and enhance efficiency, with a target of achieving 70 GWh capacity by 2027 [3]. - Geely plans to adopt a "self-supply + external procurement" strategy, with an expected increase in self-supplied battery cells to 30% over the next two years [3]. Group 3: Leap Motor's Strategy - Leap Motor achieved a record gross margin of 14.1% in the first half of 2025, attributed to economies of scale and cost control [4]. - The company's strategy focuses on "full self-research" and decentralized procurement, allowing it to save costs and enhance bargaining power by sourcing battery cells from multiple suppliers [5]. - Leap Motor has begun supplying self-developed battery packs to over five new energy commercial vehicle clients, indicating a shift towards monetizing its battery technology [5]. Group 4: Opportunities for Battery Suppliers - The anticipated demand for 100 GWh of batteries presents both opportunities and challenges for battery suppliers, with CATL remaining a preferred choice but not the only option [5]. - Suppliers need to demonstrate stable performance, compatibility with vehicle models, and sufficient capacity to meet delivery timelines to secure orders [6].