上证创十年新高，牛回速归还是落袋为安？| 周度量化观察

Market Overview - A-shares continue to reach new highs this week, with daily average trading volume exceeding 20 trillion yuan for two consecutive weeks, reflecting strong market sentiment [2][10] - The bond market experienced a decline, with both interest rate bonds and credit bonds weakening, indicating a potential negative return for pure bond funds [2][29] - Gold prices remain under pressure due to the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and positive geopolitical developments, leading to reduced safe-haven demand [3][36] Stock Market Performance - The A-share market's rise is primarily driven by capital inflow and industry catalysts, with significant structural opportunities present [5][10] - Major indices such as the CSI 500 and CSI 300 saw substantial weekly gains, with the STAR 50 index increasing over 10% [10][11] - The trading volume for the two markets increased by 22.62% week-on-week, with the CSI 300 and CSI 500 seeing higher trading volume proportions [12][13] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a focus on coupon strategies as the market dynamics shift [6][29] - The interbank funding environment has tightened, while exchange funding has loosened, contributing to the overall weakness in the bond market [29][30] Commodity Market Analysis - The Nanhua Commodity Index fell by 0.44% this week, with declines in various sectors including black and non-ferrous commodities [36][38] - Gold prices decreased by 0.23%, while crude oil prices increased by 0.81%, indicating mixed trends in the commodity market [38] Industry Performance - In the industry sector, telecommunications, electronics, and comprehensive sectors showed strong performance with weekly gains of 10.84%, 8.95%, and 8.25% respectively [19][21] - The real estate and coal sectors lagged behind, reflecting a divergence in sector performance [19][21]