Shijia Photons(SH:688313) 市值风云·2025-08-25 10:10Core Viewpoint - The acceleration of domestic substitution in the optical chip industry is shifting from downstream to upstream, with significant growth potential in high-end optical chips [1][10]. Industry Overview - The optical chip is a core value segment of optical modules, primarily providing active and passive optical chips to midstream optical module manufacturers [6]. - The optical communication chip market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2024's estimated $3.5 billion to over $11 billion by 2030 [8]. Domestic Market Dynamics - Domestic companies have captured approximately 70% of the global market share in downstream equipment, while the upstream high-end optical chip sector still requires deeper domestic substitution [10]. - In the PLC splitter chip segment, domestic manufacturers hold a remarkable 89% global market share, with Shenzhen Lixin Technology leading at 39.4% [11][13]. Company Performance - Shijia Photon has seen a significant rise in its market share in the PLC splitter chip sector, achieving about half of the global market share around 2016-2018 [11]. - The company is now focusing on expanding its product offerings to include AWG chips, which are crucial for enhancing the integration of optical devices and modules [16]. Growth in High-End Optical Modules - The demand for high-end optical modules, such as 800G and 1.6T modules, is increasing, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang expecting a growth of 54%-88% in their non-net profit due to this demand [20][25]. - The AWG chip market is projected to grow from $1.13 billion in 2023 to $2.89 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 11.1% [21]. Active Chip Market - The domestic substitution rate for 25G optical chips is around 20%, while it is only about 5% for chips above 25G, indicating significant room for growth in the active chip sector [28]. - Companies like Yuanjie Technology and Changguang Huaxin are making strides in the high-power semiconductor laser chip market, with Yuanjie achieving a gross margin of 71% in its data center segment [33][39]. R&D and Competitive Landscape - Changguang Huaxin has been heavily investing in R&D, with a rate of 46.7% in 2024, significantly higher than its competitors [45][47]. - The competitive landscape shows that Shijia Photon has a scale advantage, while Yuanjie Technology and Changguang Huaxin are comparable in size and focus on domestic clients [41][43].