【中国宏桥（1378.HK）】量价齐升助力业绩同比高增，高额回购彰显公司长期信心——动态跟踪报告（王招华/马俊）

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in performance for the first half of 2025, with a 35% year-on-year growth in net profit, driven by rising product prices and sales volumes, alongside a decrease in raw material costs [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 81.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.36 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year [3]. - The sales volume of aluminum alloy products reached approximately 2.906 million tons, a 2.4% increase year-on-year, while the sales volume of alumina products was 6.368 million tons, up 15.6% year-on-year [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The domestic aluminum price as of August 25, 2025, was 20,820 yuan per ton, reflecting a 4.7% increase since the beginning of the year. The overall aluminum consumption in China is expected to reach 54.35 million tons in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.46% [5]. - Key growth drivers for aluminum consumption include new energy vehicles, transmission lines, and air conditioning, while net exports and construction are expected to be drag factors [5]. Group 3: Shareholder Returns - The company has announced a share buyback plan with a total amount not less than 3 billion Hong Kong dollars, reflecting confidence in its future prospects [6]. - The company declared a dividend of 1.02 Hong Kong cents per share on June 13, 2025, with a cumulative dividend of 1.61 Hong Kong cents per share for the 2024 fiscal year, resulting in a dividend yield of 11% based on the closing price on the ex-dividend date [6]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment - The aluminum smelting industry is moving towards inclusion in the national carbon market, which may lead to increased costs for companies using thermal power for aluminum production, thereby encouraging energy-saving measures and a potential price premium for hydropower aluminum [7].