到2030年全球半导体营收将突破1万亿美元，受“Agentic AI”与“Physical AI”兴起驱动

Core Insights - Counterpoint Research predicts that global semiconductor revenue will nearly double from 2024 to 2030, exceeding $1 trillion [4][5]. Group 1: Semiconductor Market Growth - The growth in semiconductor revenue is driven by the infrastructure needed for AI transformation, transitioning from GenAI to Agentic AI and eventually to Physical AI [5][9]. - Major demand will come from hyperscalers, with a focus on advanced AI server infrastructure to support the increasing needs for multi-modal GenAI applications [5][9]. Group 2: AI Token Economy - The emergence of the "Token economy" is highlighted, where tokens are becoming the new currency for AI, significantly increasing token consumption as applications evolve from basic text to richer multi-modal GenAI [7][10]. - The second phase of this economy is marked by exponential growth in token generation, supporting complex conversational AI and multimedia content production, which will drive substantial demand for computing power, memory, and networking in the semiconductor sector [7][10]. Group 3: Future of AI and Semiconductor Industry - The AI market in 2024 will be hardware-centric, with approximately 80% of direct revenue coming from semiconductor infrastructure and edge devices [10]. - The long-term evolution will see a shift from Agentic AI applications to Physical AI, promoting the development of autonomous robots and vehicles over the next decade [9][10].