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为什么A股突然涨得这么猛,到底是谁在买?
雪球·2025-08-29 08:08

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in A-shares, attributing it primarily to foreign capital flows rather than retail investors, highlighting the influence of U.S. interest rate changes on global capital movement [3][9]. Group 1: Retail Investors - Retail investors are not the main driving force behind the recent market surge, as their buying power is highly dispersed and lacks the ability to form a decisive impact [4][5]. - Retail investors tend to chase trends, buying during upswings but are unlikely to counteract downward trends [5][6]. Group 2: Main Players in the Market - The primary influence on the market comes from foreign capital, which is significantly affected by U.S. interest rate policies [6][9]. - When the U.S. raises interest rates, capital flows into the U.S., while a decrease leads to capital flowing out, impacting other markets, including China [7][8]. Group 3: Currency and Market Correlation - There is a notable correlation between the RMB exchange rate and the performance of the stock market, with RMB appreciation generally leading to stock market gains and depreciation leading to losses [13][15]. - The article illustrates that from April to the present, the RMB has been in an appreciation phase, which correlates with a stronger performance in A-shares [15][17]. Group 4: Future Outlook - While current foreign capital inflows are positive for the market, predicting future movements based on currency fluctuations remains challenging [19][20].