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【汽车智能化9月投资策略】新一代智驾架构集中落地,继续看好智能化主线!
东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-08-30 15:23

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of automotive intelligence as a revolutionary shift in transportation, highlighting the transition to L3 automation and the emergence of Robotaxi services as key drivers for automakers to enhance sales and revenue through software monetization [3][9]. Group 1: Automotive Intelligence Overview - Automotive intelligence represents a significant transformation in the industry, characterized by three main phases: L3 automation aiding vehicle sales, L4 Robotaxi services enabling software revenue, and the global rise of domestic brands [3][9]. - The year 2025 is projected to be a pivotal point for automotive intelligence, with urban NOA (L3 automation) becoming a top consideration for consumers when purchasing vehicles. The penetration rate of L3 automation is expected to rise from 10% in 2025 to over 80% by 2027 [3][9]. - The automotive intelligence landscape is described as a competitive elimination process, categorizing companies into three types: B-end Robotaxi operators, C-end personalized brands, and high-end vehicle manufacturers. Component suppliers are divided into modular and single-category suppliers [3][9]. Group 2: August Intelligence Summary - The focus in August was on the iteration of next-generation driving architectures, with notable advancements such as the launch of the Li Auto VLA architecture and the introduction of the new XPeng P7 featuring advanced self-driving capabilities [4][10]. - The penetration rate of urban NOA reached 23.2% in July, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.9 percentage points. XPeng's smart driving penetration exceeded 70%, while Li Auto's overall urban NOA penetration was 59.4%, showing a slight decline of 2.2 percentage points [4][10]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations for 2025 - The article maintains a positive outlook on smart vehicles, emphasizing that intelligence is the core, with new vehicle cycles and monthly sales being critical metrics. The focus is on Hong Kong-listed companies such as XPeng Motors, Li Auto, and Xiaomi, as well as A-share companies like BYD and SAIC [5][9]. - There is a strong interest in incremental components related to automotive intelligence, including AI chips, domain controllers, steer-by-wire systems, and automotive electronics, with specific companies highlighted for investment potential [5][9]. Group 4: Market Trends and Projections - The article outlines a forecast for the automotive intelligence market, indicating that by 2025-2027, the goal is to achieve a 50%-80% penetration rate for new energy vehicles, with a focus on hardware business models. The software monetization model is expected to face challenges in achieving substantial breakthroughs [19][20]. - The anticipated growth in Robotaxi services is expected to lead to significant commercialization and a qualitative leap in the automotive industry, marking the beginning of a new industrial trend [19][20].