新动能支撑强生产——8月PMI数据点评

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI showed a slight recovery in August, indicating a stabilization in production and new orders, with high-tech manufacturing sectors demonstrating strong performance [2][4][14]. Group 1: New Momentum Supporting Strong Production - In August, the PMI production index rose to 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, remaining above the critical point for four consecutive months [9]. - The high-tech manufacturing PMI increased to 51.9%, a significant rise of 1.3 percentage points from the previous value, with the production index reaching around 54% [9][4]. - The manufacturing business activity expectation index improved to 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points, with optimistic expectations in sectors like general equipment and aerospace [9][4]. - High-tech manufacturing profits turned from a decline of 0.9% in June to a growth of 18.9%, contributing to an overall acceleration in industrial profit growth [9][4]. Group 2: Data on Manufacturing PMI Recovery - The manufacturing PMI for August was reported at 49.4%, slightly up from 49.3% in the previous month [14]. - The new orders index was at 49.5%, and the new export orders index was at 47.2%, indicating continued challenges in demand [14]. - The employment index was at 47.9%, and the supplier delivery time index was at 50.5%, reflecting mixed signals in the labor market and supply chain [14]. - The raw material inventory index was at 48.0%, showing a slight increase in inventory levels compared to the previous month [14]. Group 3: Other Notable Sub-Indices - The service sector's business activity index rose to 50.5%, marking a year-to-date high, with strong performance in capital market services and transportation [17]. - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, with new orders dropping to 40.6%, indicating a slowdown in construction activities [17][10]. - The price index for major raw materials increased, with the purchasing price index at 53.3% and the factory price index at 49.1%, suggesting rising costs in certain sectors [3][16].