【2025年中报点评/地平线机器人-W】智驾平权最大受益方，芯片出货高增驱动业绩超预期

Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic intelligent driving solution market, with significant revenue growth and a strong market presence, driven by product optimization and strategic partnerships [4][6][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.552 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 8.047 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve from a loss of 6.739 billion yuan in 2023 to a profit of 403.52 million yuan by 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to transition from a loss of 0.49 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 0.03 yuan in 2027 [2]. Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [4]. - The revenue from product solutions grew by 250%, while licensing and service revenue increased by 7% [4]. Product Development - The company saw a doubling of overall chip shipments to 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold to 980,000 units [5]. - The average price per chip rose by 106% to 393 yuan, attributed to an improved product mix favoring higher-end products [5]. - The J6B chip has secured international model designations from overseas automakers, with expected lifetime shipments exceeding 7.5 million units [5]. Market Position - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 designated models, leading to a market share of 45.8% in the Chinese OEM ADAS/AD market [6]. - The company maintains a strong competitive position, with its market share in intelligent driving solutions continuing to rise [6]. Research and Development - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness and establishing technological barriers [7]. - Despite significant R&D investments, the adjusted net profit was a loss of 1.33 billion yuan, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [7]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 3.66 billion yuan for 2025, 5.37 billion yuan for 2026, and 8.05 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 respectively [8].