Workflow
美国人未来六个月可能面对什么?
财富FORTUNE·2025-09-03 13:03

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant rise in food prices, particularly dairy and fruits, due to labor shortages and tariffs, predicting that consumers will face these challenges in the coming months [1][3]. Group 1: Price Increases - Milk prices have surged from $7 to $14, and strawberries have become luxury items, forcing consumers to buy processed foods [1]. - Predictions indicate that agricultural prices may rise by 50% to 100% by early next year as inventory depletes and new contracts take effect [3]. Group 2: Labor Shortages - The labor shortage is exacerbated by the lack of willingness among American workers to perform manual labor at wages comparable to other jobs, with undocumented workers earning around $18 per hour [4]. - The H-2A visa program, which provides foreign agricultural labor, is insufficient to meet the demand, as it only accounts for a small portion of farm labor [4][5]. Group 3: Tariffs Impact - Tariffs imposed on everyday food items like tomatoes and orange juice have increased import costs, limiting affordable alternatives for consumers [1][10]. - Consumers are expected to feel at least a 50% impact from tariffs, particularly on fruits, vegetables, and dairy products, leading many to opt for cheaper processed foods [12]. Group 4: Policy Recommendations - Economists suggest that the only viable policy response is to encourage the reduction of tariffs and increase the influx of legal agricultural workers to improve consumer conditions [14]. - Historical patterns indicate that once prices rise significantly, voters will pressure lawmakers to take action, potentially leading to a shift in immigration policies as elections approach [14].