硬AI·2025-09-10 06:22Core Viewpoint - The AI hardware market is experiencing a significant upward revision in growth forecasts, driven by strong demand from hyperscalers and tier 2 cloud service providers, indicating a structural shift in capital expenditure within data centers [1][4][16]. Market Forecast Revision - The AI server market forecast for 2029 has been revised from $386 billion to $581 billion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38% [4][5]. - The AI data center switch market is also projected to grow, reaching approximately $26 billion by 2029, with a five-year CAGR of 36% [5][15]. - In contrast, the traditional server market is expected to decline at a CAGR of -2% from 2024 to 2029, indicating a decisive shift in data center capital expenditure [5]. Growth Drivers - The report highlights that tier 2 cloud service providers and telecom operators are emerging as a significant growth force, alongside established hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft [7][11]. - The AI server market for hyperscalers is expected to grow at a CAGR of 28%, while tier 2 cloud service providers will see an astonishing CAGR of 66% [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - Dell has emerged as a major winner in the AI hardware market, with its market share in the tier 2 cloud and service provider segment increasing by 22 percentage points to 46% [12][13]. - In the enterprise market, Dell's share also rose by 13 percentage points to 30%, positioning it alongside Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) [14]. - Conversely, Super Micro's market share declined by 7 percentage points to 29%, while Nvidia and white box manufacturers also saw declines [14]. Capital Expenditure Outlook - Overall capital expenditure by cloud providers is expected to accelerate, with predictions indicating growth to $850 billion by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 24% from 2024 to 2029 [16].