CPO板块调整，长期投资逻辑犹存

Core Viewpoint - The CPO optical module index has experienced significant volatility, with a 16.94% decline from September 2 to September 9, followed by a strong rebound due to positive catalysts from OpenAI's large orders to Oracle and Oracle's better-than-expected financial results [3][7]. Recent Adjustment Analysis - The primary reason for the recent adjustment in the CPO optical module sector is profit-taking by investors, as the sector has seen substantial gains since April 2025, leading to a concentration of profit realization [7]. - The outflow of financing funds has exacerbated market volatility, with a notable shift in capital towards large-cap tech stocks since August, creating an over-allocation phenomenon [7]. - Market sentiment has fluctuated, with concerns over short-term gains prompting some investors to take profits or hedge, resulting in a sector pullback [7]. - External factors, such as the Ministry of Commerce's ruling on Micron's anti-dumping measures, have also influenced market sentiment, leading to a temporary rise followed by a decline [7]. Long-term Investment Logic - AI computing demand continues to grow, with significant capital expenditure increases from major global AI companies. In Q2 2025, the total capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers reached $95.8 billion, a 64% year-on-year increase [8]. - The CPO technology is becoming a key development direction in optical communication due to its advantages in bandwidth, power consumption, and cost. The global optical module market is expected to exceed $20 billion by 2025, with CPO accounting for over 30% [9]. - Domestic policies and industry support are strengthening, with the 2024 National Data Infrastructure Construction Guidelines outlining development goals for computing infrastructure over the next five years [9]. - Leading companies in the sector, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng, are showing strong fundamentals, with median net profit growth exceeding 50% in the first half of 2025 [10]. Focus on Technology Growth Public Funds - Several public funds with high holdings in CPO optical module concept stocks have been identified, focusing on technology growth sectors and demonstrating strong long-term performance [14]. - Fund examples include: - China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund A (018993): Focuses on AI and technology sectors, with a total scale of 1.527 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [15]. - Baoying Strategy Growth Mixed Fund (213003): Emphasizes valuation and company quality, with a scale of 1.139 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [16]. - Rongtong Industry Trend Selected Stock A (009891): Focuses on growth and has a scale of 1.835 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [17]. Conclusion - Despite short-term adjustments in the CPO optical module sector due to market sentiment and profit-taking, the long-term outlook remains robust, supported by growing AI computing demand, technological advancements, and favorable policies. Investors are encouraged to focus on leading stocks with strong performance potential for medium to long-term opportunities [18].