国泰海通｜策略：商业航天：启航空天经济新纪元

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace industry is experiencing significant growth driven by policy support, technological innovation, and increasing demand for satellite networking, leading to low-cost, high-reliability, and large-scale development opportunities [1][2][4]. Group 1: Policy and Market Dynamics - The central economic work conference in 2023 identified commercial aerospace as a key development industry, with continuous policy support enhancing innovation potential [1]. - In 2024, commercial aerospace was included in the government work report for the first time, and in 2025, the China Securities Regulatory Commission included it in the fifth set of listing standards for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1]. - The global commercial aerospace market has reached a scale of $480 billion, with China's investment in this sector expected to account for 24% of global financing in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Industry Chain Development - China has established a complete commercial aerospace industry chain, from satellite manufacturing to rocket launching and terminal operations, facilitating large-scale development [2]. - The overall scale of China's commercial aerospace industry is projected to exceed 2.5 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by the emergence of private aerospace companies [2]. Group 3: Satellite Networking and Technological Advancements - There is a surge in demand for satellite constellations, with significant progress in the deployment of low-orbit satellites, including the launch of multiple satellite groups by China [3]. - The Long March series rockets remain the primary launch vehicles, with private companies like Zhongke Aerospace and Blue Arrow Aerospace expected to contribute to increased launch capacity [3]. - New technologies such as reusable rockets and large liquid rockets are enhancing launch frequency and capacity, with several private companies entering the initial flight phase for these technologies [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The commercial aerospace sector is seen as a critical area for global technological competition, with opportunities arising from the large-scale deployment of satellite constellations and advancements in reusable rocket technology [4]. - Recommended investment areas include rocket manufacturing, satellite payloads, satellite communication, navigation, remote sensing, and space tourism, which are expected to benefit from the industry's scaling applications [4].