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【宏观】深化财税体制改革:赋能“十五五”高质量发展的制度基石——《财政洞悉》系列第九篇(赵格格/王佳雯)
光大证券研究·2025-09-15 23:04

Core Viewpoint - The fiscal and tax system reform during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is essential for addressing current fiscal constraints and advancing the modernization of national governance, aiming to inject strong momentum into Chinese-style modernization through budget reform, tax optimization, central-local relationship restructuring, and comprehensive debt management [4]. Group 1: Achievements of the "14th Five-Year Plan" - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasized establishing a modern fiscal system, focusing on accelerating the establishment of a modern fiscal system and improving the modern tax system, with progress made in budget reform, tax reform, and central-local relationship adjustments, despite facing challenges such as sluggish fiscal revenue growth and local debt pressure [5]. Group 2: Key Directions for the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will focus on four main areas for fiscal and tax reform: performance-based budgeting, modernization of the tax system, central-local collaboration, and comprehensive debt management, addressing new challenges such as fiscal revenue growth and local government land finance transformation [6][7]. Group 3: Performance-Based Budgeting - Emphasizing the need for increased public budget expenditure and improved expenditure effectiveness, the next phase of budget reform will focus on enhancing budget performance management to optimize the allocation and use of fiscal resources [7]. Group 4: Modernization of the Tax System - The direction of tax reform during the "15th Five-Year Plan" includes aligning tax reforms with industrial structure adjustments, improving the direct tax system, and enhancing the local tax system, particularly through advancing consumption tax reform [7]. Group 5: Central-Local Collaboration - To address the imbalance between central and local fiscal powers, increasing local fiscal autonomy is crucial, which can be achieved through tax reforms and enhancing consumption tax and property tax reforms to alleviate pressure on central finances [7]. Group 6: Comprehensive Debt Management - Following the large-scale issuance of local debt since 2015, there is a need for a unified debt supervision framework to manage the risks associated with hidden debts and to accelerate the transformation of financing platforms, which is essential for establishing a differentiated pricing system for market investors [7].