COWOS，被看好

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's recent report indicates that Oracle's orders exceeded expectations, positively impacting the overall AI semiconductor market sentiment, leading to an "overweight" rating for TSMC and an increased target price for King Yuan Electronics to 188 TWD [2] Group 1: Oracle and AI Semiconductor Market - Oracle's financial performance serves as a catalyst for NVIDIA and the AI supply chain, with expectations of 28,000 NVL 72 server cabinet orders by 2026 [2] - Broadcom has secured a $10 billion customized AI chip order from a fourth cloud customer, likely OpenAI, although Morgan Stanley analysts suggest this figure may represent cabinet value rather than guaranteed revenue [2] Group 2: TSMC and CoWoS Supply Chain - TSMC's COO mentioned that semiconductor technology has entered the "Moore's Law 2.0" era, emphasizing system integration over mere chip miniaturization [2] - TSMC's CoWoS capacity is projected to reach 93 kpwm by 2026, with OpenAI accounting for a small portion of approximately 10,000 units [3] Group 3: NVIDIA and Other Collaborations - NVIDIA's Rubin GPU chip is expected to begin mass production in Q2 2026, according to supply chain surveys [3] - Google, in collaboration with Broadcom, is increasing the production forecast for its 3nm TPU v7 to 300,000 units by 2026, while the 3nm TPU v8's output forecast has been revised down to 200,000-300,000 units due to delays [3][4] Group 4: King Yuan Electronics - With the anticipated ramp-up of TSMC's CoWoS TPU, Morgan Stanley expects an upward revision in King Yuan Electronics' 2026 TPU testing volume, raising its target price from 158 TWD to 188 TWD [5]