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马斯克开始疯狂剧透Grok 5了
量子位·2025-09-18 06:09

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the advancements of Musk's Grok AI models, particularly Grok 5, which is anticipated to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and surpass existing models like OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4 [6][19][20]. Group 1: Grok Model Performance - Grok 4 has shown exceptional performance, achieving top scores on multiple benchmarks shortly after its release, indicating its strong capabilities in complex problem-solving [8][10]. - In the ARC-AGI leaderboard, Grok 4 scored 66.7% and 16% on v1 and v2 tests, respectively, outperforming Claude Opus 4 and showing competitive results against GPT-5 [13]. - New approaches based on Grok 4 have been developed, achieving even higher scores, such as 79.6% and 29.44% by using English instead of Python for programming tasks [14]. Group 2: Grok 5 Expectations - Musk believes Grok 5 has the potential to reach AGI, with a possibility of achieving this at 10% or higher, a significant increase from his previous skepticism about Grok's capabilities [19][20]. - Grok 5 is set to begin training in the coming weeks, with a planned release by the end of the year, indicating a rapid development timeline [21][22]. - The training data for Grok 5 will be significantly larger than that of Grok 4, which already had 100 times the training volume of Grok 2 and 10 times that of Grok 3 [23]. Group 3: Data and Hardware Investments - Musk's xAI has established a robust data collection system, leveraging Tesla's FSD and cameras, as well as data generated by the Optimus robot, ensuring a continuous influx of real-world data for training [24][25]. - xAI is also investing heavily in hardware, aiming to deploy the equivalent of 50 million H100 GPUs over five years, with approximately 230,000 GPUs already operational for Grok training [26].